沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 09:54
第 11場
2024-02-12沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、J Richards訓練的GIDDY UP勝出，贏出1/2。SUPERB KID獲得亞軍；BLUE MARLIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門STORM RIDER跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GIDDY UP 後段發力 H-/TT 1.22.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 30.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPERB KID 後段發力 K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 11 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | BLUE MARLIN 後段發力 H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | MAGNIFICENT NINE 後段發力 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | KARMA 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | TALENTS AMBITION 後段發力 XB1 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 8 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | QUANTUM PATCH 後段發力 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SINBA 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | LESLIE B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | E LEGEND M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | RUN RUN COOL PC L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | STORM RIDER K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 10 | 3.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | SUPER WINNER 早段領放 TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 41.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | JOLLY RULER H L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 14 | 50.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | WINNER METHOD C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STORM RIDER | 25.0% | 4.01 | 12 |
| 2 | 13 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 14.3% | 7.00 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | BLUE MARLIN | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | QUANTUM PATCH | 10.8% | 9.29 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | KARMA | 10.1% | 9.92 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | LESLIE | 4.7% | 21.05 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPERB KID | 4.5% | 22.06 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | TALENTS AMBITION | 3.7% | 27.36 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | SINBA | 3.0% | 32.79 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.5% | 39.49 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | GIDDY UP | 2.4% | 42.27 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | JOLLY RULER | 2.0% | 48.79 | 14 |
| 13 | 3 | SUPER WINNER | 2.0% | 50.20 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | E LEGEND | 1.5% | 65.05 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 307
PLACE
1 29.5
11 37
12 77.5
QUINELLA
11,12 1,839
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 178
1,12 450
11,12 498.5
FORECAST
12,11 3,998
TIERCE
12,11,1 37,852
TRIO
1,11,12 5,560
FIRST 4
1,11,12,13 5,757
QUARTET
12,11,1,13 229,266
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
3/11 724
3/12 6,445.5
2ND TREBLE
5/3/11 2,729
5/3/12 53,958
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/1,11,12 417,348
SIX UP
9/4/4/5/3/12 3,742,164
9,11/4,9/4,6/1,5/3,5/11,12 3,139
1 [Z Purton] —
2 [J Size] —