沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 07:39
第 7場
2024-02-12沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING RISING勝出，贏出N。LADY'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING RISING 1.08.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 1.3 | N |
| 2 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE H/V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 25.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB-/TT1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 7 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 13 | 47.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | SHOW RESPECT H-/XB Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 1 | 65.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | SUGAR BALL CP/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 195.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SOLAR PARTNER TT B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 3 | 71.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 119.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 14 | 65.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GOOD LUCK WIN B1/TT1 A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 88.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | CAPTAIN WIN PC-/B2/TT- K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 4 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 12 | 91.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING RISING | 52.0% | 1.92 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 11.4% | 8.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 7.4% | 13.53 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | CAPTAIN WIN | 4.4% | 22.68 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE | 4.1% | 24.34 | 13 |
| 6 | 14 | SHOW RESPECT | 3.4% | 29.13 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | SOLAR PARTNER | 3.0% | 32.82 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION | 2.8% | 36.15 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 2.7% | 36.70 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE | 2.6% | 37.94 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 2.3% | 42.80 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | PINS PRINCE | 1.8% | 56.56 | 9 |
| 13 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.6% | 63.76 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | SUGAR BALL | 0.5% | 214.55 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 13
PLACE
4 10.5
8 18.5
9 35
QUINELLA
4,9 112.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 21
4,9 50.5
8,9 110.5
FORECAST
4,9 143
TIERCE
4,9,8 486
TRIO
4,8,9 166
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 183
QUARTET
4,9,8,3 2,229
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,11/4,8,9 71,171
6TH DOUBLE
9/4 144.5
9/9 378
TRIPLE TRIO
2,11,13/6,9,11/4,8,9 20,913,480
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,11,13/6,9,11/Any Combination 184,151