沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 06:37
第 5場
2024-02-12沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WINNING DATA勝出，贏出1。DEVAS TWELVE獲得亞軍；STRONGEST BOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.3倍大熱門LUCKY ETERNITY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINNING DATA 後段發力 B 1.35.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | BEER PALACE 後段發力 B H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 13 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CIRCUIT NINE 後段發力 B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY ETERNITY CP Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 1 | 5.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ME TIME 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 67.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | WINNING STEPS H/PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | FLYING MOJITO XB/V1/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ROBOT FIGHTER B1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 3 | 83.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 3 | MASTER HERO 早段領放 CP-/XB/V1/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 14 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | PING HAI COMET H1 K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 11 | 8.6 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINNING DATA | 16.5% | 6.06 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY | 14.8% | 6.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 10.3% | 9.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING STEPS | 9.3% | 10.77 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | CIRCUIT NINE | 7.8% | 12.78 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | PING HAI COMET | 7.4% | 13.53 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING MOJITO | 5.9% | 16.90 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | MASTER HERO | 5.7% | 17.55 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.5% | 18.31 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | BEER PALACE | 5.3% | 18.73 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS | 4.9% | 20.53 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE | 4.2% | 23.80 | 2 |
| 13 | 8 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 1.4% | 70.32 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | ME TIME | 0.9% | 105.66 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 57
PLACE
2 22
11 45
13 29
QUINELLA
2,11 473
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 162.5
2,13 93
11,13 200
FORECAST
2,11 905
TIERCE
2,11,13 6,738
TRIO
2,11,13 1,263
FIRST 4
2,11,13,14 4,885
QUARTET
2,11,13,14 95,456
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/10/2 7,411
1/10/11 3,420
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/2,11,13 287,831
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 238
10/11 98.5