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Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 14:36

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WINNING DATA Closed strongly B 1.35.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu 12 5.7 1
2 0 DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 8 16.0 1
3 0 STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 10 7.7 1-1/4
4 0 CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 6 16.0 1-1/2
5 0 BEER PALACE Closed strongly B H Bentley · M Newnham 13 16.0 2-1/2
6 0 CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 9 10.0 4-1/4
7 0 LUCKY ETERNITY CP Y L Chung · T P Yung 1 5.3 4-3/4
8 0 ME TIME Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte 5 67.0 5
9 0 WINNING STEPS H/PC A Badel · P C Ng 4 22.0 5-1/4
10 0 FLYING MOJITO XB/V1/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 7 14.0 5-1/4
11 0 FOREVER FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang 2 10.0 5-3/4
12 0 ROBOT FIGHTER B1 C L Chau · K L Man 3 83.0 6
13 0 MASTER HERO Led early CP-/XB/V1/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 14 11.0 6-3/4
14 0 PING HAI COMET H1 K C Leung · J Size 11 8.6 7-1/4
— 0 SUPER CONTENTED K De Melo · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DATA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with DEVAS TWELVE second and STRONGEST BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.3 favourite LUCKY ETERNITY finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WINNING DATA—2. DEVAS TWELVE+1L3. STRONGEST BOY+1.25L4. CAN'T GO WONG+1.5L5. BEER PALACE+2.5L6. CIRCUIT NINE+4.25L7. LUCKY ETERNITY+4.75L8. ME TIME+5L9. WINNING STEPS+5.25L10. FLYING MOJITO+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick WINNING DATA (16.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WINNING DATA 16.5% 6.06 1
2 0 STRONGEST BOY 14.8% 6.75 3
3 0 LUCKY ETERNITY 10.3% 9.70 7
4 0 WINNING STEPS 9.3% 10.77 9
5 0 CIRCUIT NINE 7.8% 12.78 6
6 0 PING HAI COMET 7.4% 13.53 14
7 0 FLYING MOJITO 5.9% 16.90 10
8 0 MASTER HERO 5.7% 17.55 13
9 0 CAN'T GO WONG 5.5% 18.31 4
10 0 BEER PALACE 5.3% 18.73 5
11 0 FOREVER FOLKS 4.9% 20.53 11
12 0 DEVAS TWELVE 4.2% 23.80 2
13 0 ROBOT FIGHTER 1.4% 70.32 12
14 0 ME TIME 0.9% 105.66 8
WINNING DATA — wonSTRONGEST BOYLUCKY ETERNITYWINNING STEPSCIRCUIT NINEPING HAI COMETFLYING MOJITOMASTER HEROCAN'T GO WONGBEER PALACEFOREVER FOLKSDEVAS TWELVEROBOT FIGHTERME TIME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 57

PLACE

2 22

11 45

13 29

QUINELLA

2,11 473

QUINELLA PLACE

2,11 162.5

2,13 93

11,13 200

FORECAST

2,11 905

TIERCE

2,11,13 6,738

TRIO

2,11,13 1,263

FIRST 4

2,11,13,14 4,885

QUARTET

2,11,13,14 95,456

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/10/2 7,411

1/10/11 3,420

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,10/2,11,13 287,831

4TH DOUBLE

10/2 238

10/11 98.5