Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 06:37
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DATA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with DEVAS TWELVE second and STRONGEST BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.3 favourite LUCKY ETERNITY finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINNING DATA Closed strongly B 1.35.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | BEER PALACE Closed strongly B H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 13 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY ETERNITY CP Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 1 | 5.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ME TIME Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 67.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | WINNING STEPS H/PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | FLYING MOJITO XB/V1/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ROBOT FIGHTER B1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 3 | 83.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 3 | MASTER HERO Led early CP-/XB/V1/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 14 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | PING HAI COMET H1 K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 11 | 8.6 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER CONTENTED K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINNING DATA | 16.5% | 6.06 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | STRONGEST BOY | 14.8% | 6.75 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 10.3% | 9.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING STEPS | 9.3% | 10.77 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | CIRCUIT NINE | 7.8% | 12.78 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | PING HAI COMET | 7.4% | 13.53 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING MOJITO | 5.9% | 16.90 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | MASTER HERO | 5.7% | 17.55 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.5% | 18.31 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | BEER PALACE | 5.3% | 18.73 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | FOREVER FOLKS | 4.9% | 20.53 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE | 4.2% | 23.80 | 2 |
| 13 | 8 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 1.4% | 70.32 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | ME TIME | 0.9% | 105.66 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 57
PLACE
2 22
11 45
13 29
QUINELLA
2,11 473
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 162.5
2,13 93
11,13 200
FORECAST
2,11 905
TIERCE
2,11,13 6,738
TRIO
2,11,13 1,263
FIRST 4
2,11,13,14 4,885
QUARTET
2,11,13,14 95,456
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/10/2 7,411
1/10/11 3,420
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/2,11,13 287,831
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 238
10/11 98.5