Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 16:07
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED LION Closed strongly 1.21.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MUGEN Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 1.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | DUKE WAI PC-/P1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 6 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | COURIER WONDER Closed strongly H/XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 26.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly B1/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 37.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER WEALTHY Led early V/XB A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 36.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RED LION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with MUGEN second and DUKE WAI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.2 favourite MUGEN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MUGEN | 63.7% | 1.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED LION | 21.1% | 4.74 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | COURIER WONDER | 5.5% | 18.24 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 3.9% | 25.69 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 3.3% | 30.54 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER WEALTHY | 2.6% | 39.17 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 42.5
PLACE
4 13.5
6 12.5
QUINELLA
4,6 14.5
FORECAST
4,6 52
TIERCE
4,6,2 133
TRIO
2,4,6 29
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 32
QUARTET
4,6,2,1 412
7TH DOUBLE
4/4 28.5
4/6 10.5