Sha Tin · 2019-09-08
Race 6
Class 4
GOOD TO FIRM
1400m
Course C
14 runners
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DESTIN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by HD, with CITY LEGEND second and WITNESS HUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite MY POWER finished 14th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DESTIN Closed strongly B 1.21.39 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 5.2 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 9 | 7.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | WITNESS HUNTER Closed strongly B/SR Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly V-/B2 C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B/H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SAVVY SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 4 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | DIAMOND LEGEND Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly P-/E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW Closed strongly B/H N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 12 | 60.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | CHAPARRAL STAR Closed strongly H/PC/XB R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 5 | 47.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | PHENOMENAL B/H/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 301.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | SPARKLING KNIGHT Led early A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 14 | 65.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR H1 L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 10 | 248.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | MY POWER H/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 1 | 3.8 | 19-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick DIAMOND LEGEND (19.8%) finished 7th — the winner DESTIN was rated #2.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DIAMOND LEGEND | 19.8% | 5.05 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | DESTIN | 18.1% | 5.54 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | WITNESS HUNTER | 14.4% | 6.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | MY POWER | 10.3% | 9.70 | 14 |
| 5 | 5 | CITY LEGEND | 8.8% | 11.40 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | SAVVY SEVEN | 6.5% | 15.31 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 5.1% | 19.42 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | VILLA FIONN | 4.2% | 23.86 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 3.8% | 26.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | HAPPY HOUR | 2.8% | 35.75 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 2.7% | 36.81 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 1.6% | 63.97 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR | 1.2% | 82.92 | 13 |
| 14 | 6 | PHENOMENAL | 0.7% | 144.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 5
Race 7 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m
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