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Sha Tin · 2019-09-08

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DESTIN Closed strongly B 1.21.39 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 8 5.2 HD
2 0 CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B B Shinn · T P Yung 9 7.0 HD
3 0 WITNESS HUNTER Closed strongly B/SR Z Purton · F C Lor 11 5.8 1-3/4
4 0 VILLA FIONN Closed strongly V-/B2 C Schofield · P F Yiu 2 14.0 2-3/4
5 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B/H M L Yeung · K W Lui 3 13.0 3-1/2
6 0 SAVVY SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · J Moore 4 19.0 3-1/2
7 0 DIAMOND LEGEND Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 6 5.9 5
8 0 HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly P-/E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip 13 47.0 5
9 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW Closed strongly B/H N Callan · R Gibson 12 60.0 8-1/4
10 0 CHAPARRAL STAR Closed strongly H/PC/XB R Bayliss · C Fownes 5 47.0 13-1/4
11 0 PHENOMENAL B/H/TT H N Wong · K H Ting 7 301.0 16-1/2
12 0 SPARKLING KNIGHT Led early A Sanna · Y S Tsui 14 65.0 16-3/4
13 0 WINNING WARRIOR H1 L Hewitson · K L Man 10 248.0 18-1/4
14 0 MY POWER H/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum 1 3.8 19-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2019-09-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DESTIN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by HD, with CITY LEGEND second and WITNESS HUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite MY POWER finished 14th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DESTIN—2. CITY LEGEND+0.2L3. WITNESS HUNTER+1.75L4. VILLA FIONN+2.75L5. THIS ONE'S FOR YOU+3.5L6. SAVVY SEVEN+3.5L7. DIAMOND LEGEND+5L8. HAPPY HOUR+5L9. IMPECCABLE FELLOW+8.25L10. CHAPARRAL STAR+13.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick DIAMOND LEGEND (19.8%) finished 7th — the winner DESTIN was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DIAMOND LEGEND 19.8% 5.05 7
2 0 DESTIN 18.1% 5.54 1
3 0 WITNESS HUNTER 14.4% 6.92 3
4 0 MY POWER 10.3% 9.70 14
5 0 CITY LEGEND 8.8% 11.40 2
6 0 SAVVY SEVEN 6.5% 15.31 6
7 0 CHAPARRAL STAR 5.1% 19.42 10
8 0 VILLA FIONN 4.2% 23.86 4
9 0 SPARKLING KNIGHT 3.8% 26.47 12
10 0 HAPPY HOUR 2.8% 35.75 8
11 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 2.7% 36.81 5
12 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW 1.6% 63.97 9
13 0 WINNING WARRIOR 1.2% 82.92 13
14 0 PHENOMENAL 0.7% 144.60 11
DIAMOND LEGENDDESTIN — wonWITNESS HUNTERMY POWERCITY LEGENDSAVVY SEVENCHAPARRAL STARVILLA FIONNSPARKLING KNIGHTHAPPY HOURTHIS ONE'S FOR YOUIMPECCABLE FELLOWWINNING WARRIORPHENOMENAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.