Sha Tin · 2020-06-21
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOLLY BANNER Closed strongly B 1.20.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT MATCH Led early B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FAT TURTLE B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THANKS FOREVER B Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 5 | 3.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR B1/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 4 | 33.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-21 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JOLLY BANNER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with PERFECT MATCH second and FAT TURTLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite PERFECT MATCH finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THANKS FOREVER | 43.8% | 2.28 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT MATCH | 24.0% | 4.16 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FAT TURTLE | 21.8% | 4.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | JOLLY BANNER | 7.6% | 13.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR | 2.7% | 36.84 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 45
PLACE
3 24.5
5 14
QUINELLA
3,5 45
TIERCE
3,5,2 293
TRIO
2,3,5 40
2ND DOUBLE
3/3 304.5
3/5 22.5