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Sha Tin · 2020-06-21

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly TT 1.34.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum 4 8.7 1-1/2
2 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT H T Mo · A S Cruz 7 40.0 1-1/2
3 0 SUPER WINNER Led early TT K H Chan · C H Yip 11 29.0 1-3/4
4 0 WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 2 15.0 2-1/4
5 0 FULL POWER B/XB V Borges · R Gibson 12 10.0 2-3/4
6 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT J Moreira · J Moore 13 3.2 3
7 0 STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 14 4.2 4
8 0 ROYAL RACER V C Y Ho · C Fownes 1 14.0 4-1/2
9 0 XIANG LAN QI Closed strongly M Chadwick · K L Man 10 123.0 5
10 0 BULLETPROOF A Hamelin · P F Yiu 3 9.5 5-1/2
11 0 THE DRIVE TT M F Poon · T P Yung 5 85.0 5-1/2
12 0 KA FORTUNE V/XB M L Yeung · L Ho 8 18.0 10-1/2
13 0 STAR WIN C L Chau · D J Whyte 9 135.0 11-3/4
14 0 ENJOY LIFE T H So · Y S Tsui 6 12.0 12-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-21 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REGENCY MASTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with CALIFORNIA LEGEND second and SUPER WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SO WE JOY finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REGENCY MASTER—2. CALIFORNIA LEGEND+1.5L3. SUPER WINNER+1.75L4. WONDER EXPRESS+2.25L5. FULL POWER+2.75L6. SO WE JOY+3L7. STUNNING IMPACT+4L8. ROYAL RACER+4.5L9. XIANG LAN QI+5L10. BULLETPROOF+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick SO WE JOY (19.5%) finished 6th — the winner REGENCY MASTER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SO WE JOY 19.5% 5.12 6
2 0 REGENCY MASTER 15.0% 6.66 1
3 0 STUNNING IMPACT 13.9% 7.21 7
4 0 ENJOY LIFE 8.5% 11.71 14
5 0 FULL POWER 8.4% 11.87 5
6 0 ROYAL RACER 8.2% 12.20 8
7 0 BULLETPROOF 7.2% 13.87 10
8 0 WONDER EXPRESS 7.0% 14.26 4
9 0 SUPER WINNER 4.2% 23.70 3
10 0 KA FORTUNE 2.8% 36.35 12
11 0 CALIFORNIA LEGEND 2.3% 43.39 2
12 0 STAR WIN 1.0% 98.00 13
13 0 XIANG LAN QI 0.9% 105.52 9
14 0 THE DRIVE 0.9% 105.94 11
SO WE JOYREGENCY MASTER — wonSTUNNING IMPACTENJOY LIFEFULL POWERROYAL RACERBULLETPROOFWONDER EXPRESSSUPER WINNERKA FORTUNECALIFORNIA LEGENDSTAR WINXIANG LAN QITHE DRIVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 87

PLACE

8 24.5

9 71.5

10 101.5

QUINELLA

8,10 1,705

QUINELLA PLACE

8,9 402

8,10 454.5

9,10 1,061

TIERCE

8,10,9 31,260

TRIO

8,9,10 7,448

FIRST 4

8,9,10,13 20,261

QUARTET

8,10,9,13 462,567

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 24

A1 —

All pools (2 more)

6TH DOUBLE

6/8 869

6/10 341

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,3/6,11,13/Any Combination 11,490