Sha Tin · 2020-06-21
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-21 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BULLISH GLORY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 1, with MISTER MONTE second and CHEERFUL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 6.2 favourite GIANT TURTLE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H 2.01.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | MISTER MONTE Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 8 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SALTO OLIMPICO B T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 12 | 79.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly V1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | GIANT TURTLE Led early SR/TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 11 | 6.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 1 | 8.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | JOLLY FOREVER B1/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 65.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | GALA NIGHT CP V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 2 | 9.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | EXALTATION V/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 13 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CROWN AVENUE V-/B2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 19.4% | 5.15 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | BULLISH GLORY | 16.9% | 5.92 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 12.9% | 7.74 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | GOOD DAYS | 11.8% | 8.47 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | GALA NIGHT | 9.5% | 10.47 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | EXALTATION | 6.9% | 14.59 | 12 |
| 7 | 13 | MISTER MONTE | 4.4% | 22.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | CROWN AVENUE | 4.2% | 23.88 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | CHEERFUL STAR | 3.7% | 27.11 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | GIANT TURTLE | 3.4% | 29.40 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 3.0% | 32.84 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 2.8% | 35.54 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | JOLLY FOREVER | 1.0% | 101.34 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 67.5
PLACE
6 26
11 42
13 39.5
QUINELLA
6,13 590.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 221
6,13 203
11,13 382.5
TIERCE
6,13,11 19,935
TRIO
6,11,13 3,137
FIRST 4
6,10,11,13 3,224
QUARTET
6,13,11,10 79,424
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/6 253
1/13 144