Sha Tin · 2020-06-21
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WINNING BREW, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-1/2, with GOLDEN MISSION second and WINNING STRIKES third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING BREW 1.08.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING STRIKES M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 139.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | INNO LEGEND K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 124.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ROMAN IMPERO V-/B2 T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 9.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER MISSION C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | DR PROACTIVE C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | GREEN ENVY TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 3 | 9.8 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | RUN THE TABLE H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 5 | 168.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | PRIME TIME B/H V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 13 | 226.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | NOBLE MAN E1/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | ERIN CENTENARY H/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 6 | 283.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 10 | 7.3 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING BREW | 44.0% | 2.27 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | NOBLE MAN | 18.9% | 5.28 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER MISSION | 7.2% | 13.86 | 7 |
| 4 | 14 | GREEN ENVY | 6.0% | 16.59 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.1% | 19.58 | 14 |
| 6 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION | 5.0% | 19.83 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | DR PROACTIVE | 3.8% | 26.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | VOYAGE STAR | 3.3% | 29.88 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | INNO LEGEND | 2.0% | 50.70 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | ROMAN IMPERO | 1.6% | 63.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | WINNING STRIKES | 1.1% | 93.44 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | RUN THE TABLE | 0.9% | 106.43 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | PRIME TIME | 0.5% | 187.46 | 11 |
| 14 | 8 | ERIN CENTENARY | 0.5% | 204.18 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 28
PLACE
3 12.5
7 255
13 34
QUINELLA
3,13 161.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 505.5
3,13 65.5
7,13 1,482.5
TIERCE
3,13,7 12,769
TRIO
3,7,13 4,002
FIRST 4
3,6,7,13 20,492
QUARTET
3,13,7,6 195,334
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 288
1/13 139.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18