沙田 · 2020-06-21
第 2場
2020-06-21沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的WINNING BREW勝出，贏出3-1/2。GOLDEN MISSION獲得亞軍；WINNING STRIKES獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING BREW 1.08.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING STRIKES M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 139.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | INNO LEGEND K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 124.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ROMAN IMPERO V-/B2 T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 9.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER MISSION C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | DR PROACTIVE C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | GREEN ENVY TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 3 | 9.8 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | RUN THE TABLE H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 5 | 168.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | PRIME TIME B/H V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 13 | 226.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | NOBLE MAN E1/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | ERIN CENTENARY H/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 6 | 283.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 10 | 7.3 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING BREW | 44.0% | 2.27 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | NOBLE MAN | 18.9% | 5.28 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER MISSION | 7.2% | 13.86 | 7 |
| 4 | 14 | GREEN ENVY | 6.0% | 16.59 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.1% | 19.58 | 14 |
| 6 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION | 5.0% | 19.83 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | DR PROACTIVE | 3.8% | 26.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | VOYAGE STAR | 3.3% | 29.88 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | INNO LEGEND | 2.0% | 50.70 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | ROMAN IMPERO | 1.6% | 63.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | WINNING STRIKES | 1.1% | 93.44 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | RUN THE TABLE | 0.9% | 106.43 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | PRIME TIME | 0.5% | 187.46 | 11 |
| 14 | 8 | ERIN CENTENARY | 0.5% | 204.18 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 28
PLACE
3 12.5
7 255
13 34
QUINELLA
3,13 161.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 505.5
3,13 65.5
7,13 1,482.5
TIERCE
3,13,7 12,769
TRIO
3,7,13 4,002
FIRST 4
3,6,7,13 20,492
QUARTET
3,13,7,6 195,334
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 288
1/13 139.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18