沙田 · 2020-06-21
第 7場
2020-06-21沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的REGENCY MASTER勝出，贏出1-1/2。CALIFORNIA LEGEND獲得亞軍；SUPER WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門SO WE JOY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | REGENCY MASTER 後段發力 TT 1.34.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 7 | 40.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER WINNER 早段領放 TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 11 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FULL POWER B/XB V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 12 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 CP/TT J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 13 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 4.2 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | ROYAL RACER V C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | XIANG LAN QI 後段發力 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 123.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | BULLETPROOF A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | THE DRIVE TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 5 | 85.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | KA FORTUNE V/XB M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 18.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | STAR WIN C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 135.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | ENJOY LIFE T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 6 | 12.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SO WE JOY | 19.5% | 5.12 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | REGENCY MASTER | 15.0% | 6.66 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT | 13.9% | 7.21 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | ENJOY LIFE | 8.5% | 11.71 | 14 |
| 5 | 1 | FULL POWER | 8.4% | 11.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | ROYAL RACER | 8.2% | 12.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | BULLETPROOF | 7.2% | 13.87 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | WONDER EXPRESS | 7.0% | 14.26 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER WINNER | 4.2% | 23.70 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | KA FORTUNE | 2.8% | 36.35 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 2.3% | 43.39 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | STAR WIN | 1.0% | 98.00 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | XIANG LAN QI | 0.9% | 105.52 | 9 |
| 14 | 2 | THE DRIVE | 0.9% | 105.94 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 87
PLACE
8 24.5
9 71.5
10 101.5
QUINELLA
8,10 1,705
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 402
8,10 454.5
9,10 1,061
TIERCE
8,10,9 31,260
TRIO
8,9,10 7,448
FIRST 4
8,9,10,13 20,261
QUARTET
8,10,9,13 462,567
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 24
A2 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
6TH DOUBLE
6/8 869
6/10 341
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,3/6,11,13/Any Combination 11,490