沙田 · 2020-06-21
第 10場
2020-06-21沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的AMAZING CHOCOLATE勝出，贏出1-1/2。KA YING EXCELLENT獲得亞軍；MARVEL DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門KA YING EXCELLENT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE 後段發力 B 1.21.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | KA YING EXCELLENT 後段發力 CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | MARVEL DRAGON TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | THE ROCK 後段發力 H1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | AWE 後段發力 C Wong · J Moore | C Wong | J Moore | 13 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | LE TERROIR 後段發力 CP/XB H N Wong · L Ho | H N Wong | L Ho | 3 | 133.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | CHAIRMAN LO 後段發力 E K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 14 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | PRECIOUS EXPRESS M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TAKING AIM 早段領放 CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MOERAKI CP K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 88.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | GLORIOUS LOVER V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 8 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 5 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SUPER QILIN XB/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 183.0 | 25-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 22.7% | 4.41 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | MARVEL DRAGON | 17.5% | 5.72 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 12.9% | 7.75 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | THE ROCK | 8.8% | 11.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 8.6% | 11.62 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | FLYING VICTORY | 6.9% | 14.40 | 13 |
| 7 | 2 | TAKING AIM | 5.4% | 18.55 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | CHAIRMAN LO | 4.3% | 23.07 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | PRECIOUS EXPRESS | 2.9% | 33.95 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | AWE | 2.9% | 34.05 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 2.4% | 40.88 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | MOERAKI | 2.4% | 41.53 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | LE TERROIR | 1.5% | 67.60 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | SUPER QILIN | 0.6% | 168.09 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 41
PLACE
3 18.5
7 25.5
14 16
QUINELLA
3,14 94
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 71
3,14 38.5
7,14 66.5
TIERCE
3,14,7 1,156
TRIO
3,7,14 239
FIRST 4
3,4,7,14 280
QUARTET
3,14,7,4 4,992
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
11/3 134
11/14 28