沙田 · 2020-06-21
第 5場
2020-06-21沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、A T Millard訓練的YEE CHEONG PEGASUS勝出，贏出1/2。SKY FIELD獲得亞軍；KINDA COOL獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門KINDA COOL跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB/TT 1.08.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SKY FIELD TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | KINDA COOL Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | ADONIS H/P K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | TAILOR MADE B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 69.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HIN YUEN BIS TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 178.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B1/TT1 J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 14 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | LUCKY GUY TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | GOLD 'N' BOLD CP-/B2 V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 6 | 25.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | FORTUNE HERO B1 M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 10 | 50.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | HEY PAL TT H T Mo · J Size | H T Mo | J Size | 7 | 233.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | READY CONQUEROR H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 159.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | COPARTNER ERA B H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 5 | 138.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ERA KING TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 329.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KINDA COOL | 26.7% | 3.74 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 24.0% | 4.16 | 7 |
| 3 | 14 | ADONIS | 15.0% | 6.65 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | YEE CHEONG PEGASUS | 10.9% | 9.17 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | SKY FIELD | 8.6% | 11.59 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 6.0% | 16.69 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY GUY | 2.4% | 42.12 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | TAILOR MADE | 1.8% | 56.99 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | HIN YUEN BIS | 1.1% | 87.02 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | FORTUNE HERO | 0.9% | 108.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | READY CONQUEROR | 0.8% | 123.44 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | HEY PAL | 0.6% | 157.10 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | COPARTNER ERA | 0.6% | 171.97 | 13 |
| 14 | 4 | ERA KING | 0.5% | 209.67 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 33
PLACE
1 13.5
2 12
3 18.5
QUINELLA
1,3 69.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 20
1,3 29.5
2,3 27
TIERCE
1,3,2 287
TRIO
1,2,3 42
FIRST 4
1,2,3,14 81
QUARTET
1,3,2,14 1,536
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/1,2,3 17,226
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 23
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 462
3/3 56.5