沙田 · 2020-06-21
第 1場
2020-06-21沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、C S Shum訓練的UNITED WE STAND勝出，贏出5。JIMSON THE DRAGON獲得亞軍；LA BOMBA獲得季軍。頭馬以4.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT 0.55.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 14 | 4.9 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B/XB/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | LA BOMBA TT B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | BANDY B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 11 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING MONKEY CP-/BO2/TT C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 9 | 7.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MONEYMORE CO/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 7.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | ISLAND WINNER CO/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | AURORA STEED B-/V1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 9.6 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | MASTER GALAXY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 40.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ROMAN ODYSSEY XB1/H2/TT- A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 26.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | WHISTLE UP B K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 10 | 9.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | GUERDON HELMET B-/CP2 H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 12 | 123.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SPICY REALLY B/TT1 H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 42.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 5.8 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | AURORA STEED | 27.0% | 3.70 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | ROMAN ODYSSEY | 15.8% | 6.32 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | MONEYMORE | 11.2% | 8.94 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 9.6% | 10.46 | 14 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING MONKEY | 6.4% | 15.63 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | WHISTLE UP | 5.7% | 17.50 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | UNITED WE STAND | 5.1% | 19.63 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.22 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | SPICY REALLY | 3.9% | 25.80 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 | MASTER GALAXY | 3.4% | 29.33 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | LA BOMBA | 3.4% | 29.76 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | ISLAND WINNER | 2.0% | 49.03 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | BANDY | 1.1% | 89.21 | 4 |
| 14 | 13 | GUERDON HELMET | 0.9% | 110.69 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 49.5
PLACE
1 20
8 42
11 32.5
QUINELLA
1,11 286.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 102
1,11 108
8,11 258
TIERCE
1,11,8 6,504
TRIO
1,8,11 1,290
FIRST 4
1,8,11,14 10,145
QUARTET
1,11,8,14 240,520
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 16.5