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Sha Tin · 2020-06-21

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. YEE CHEONG PEGASUS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by A T Millard, won by 1/2, with SKY FIELD second and KINDA COOL third. The 2.6 favourite KINDA COOL finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 YEE CHEONG PEGASUS XB/TT 1.08.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · A T Millard 4 3.3 1/2
2 3 SKY FIELD TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 8 3.9 1/2
3 2 KINDA COOL Z Purton · F C Lor 2 2.6 3
4 14 ADONIS H/P K Teetan · D J Whyte 1 10.0 5-1/4
5 13 TAILOR MADE B M L Yeung · C W Chang 12 69.0 5-1/4
6 6 HIN YUEN BIS TT M F Poon · K H Ting 9 178.0 6-1/4
7 7 MORE THAN ENOUGH B1/TT1 J Moreira · A S Cruz 14 22.0 7-1/2
8 9 LUCKY GUY TT T H So · C H Yip 3 25.0 8-1/2
9 8 GOLD 'N' BOLD CP-/B2 V Borges · J Moore 6 25.0 9
10 10 FORTUNE HERO B1 M Chadwick · D J Hall 10 50.0 10-1/2
11 5 HEY PAL TT H T Mo · J Size 7 233.0 10-3/4
12 12 READY CONQUEROR H N Wong · Y S Tsui 13 159.0 11
13 11 COPARTNER ERA B H W Lai · W Y So 5 138.0 11-1/4
14 4 ERA KING TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung 11 329.0 19

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YEE CHEONG PEGASUS2. SKY FIELD+0.5L3. KINDA COOL+3L4. ADONIS+5.25L5. TAILOR MADE+5.25L6. HIN YUEN BIS+6.25L7. MORE THAN ENOUGH+7.5L8. LUCKY GUY+8.5L9. GOLD 'N' BOLD+9L10. FORTUNE HERO+10.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick KINDA COOL (26.7%) finished 3rd — the winner YEE CHEONG PEGASUS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 KINDA COOL 26.7% 3.74 3
2 7 MORE THAN ENOUGH 24.0% 4.16 7
3 14 ADONIS 15.0% 6.65 4
4 1 YEE CHEONG PEGASUS 10.9% 9.17 1
5 3 SKY FIELD 8.6% 11.59 2
6 8 GOLD 'N' BOLD 6.0% 16.69 9
7 9 LUCKY GUY 2.4% 42.12 8
8 13 TAILOR MADE 1.8% 56.99 5
9 6 HIN YUEN BIS 1.1% 87.02 6
10 10 FORTUNE HERO 0.9% 108.10 10
11 12 READY CONQUEROR 0.8% 123.44 12
12 5 HEY PAL 0.6% 157.10 11
13 11 COPARTNER ERA 0.6% 171.97 13
14 4 ERA KING 0.5% 209.67 14
KINDA COOLMORE THAN ENOUGHADONISYEE CHEONG PEGASUS — wonSKY FIELDGOLD 'N' BOLDLUCKY GUYTAILOR MADEHIN YUEN BISFORTUNE HEROREADY CONQUERORHEY PALCOPARTNER ERAERA KING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 33

PLACE

1 13.5

2 12

3 18.5

QUINELLA

1,3 69.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 20

1,3 29.5

2,3 27

TIERCE

1,3,2 287

TRIO

1,2,3 42

FIRST 4

1,2,3,14 81

QUARTET

1,3,2,14 1,536

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,7/1,2,3 17,226

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1

A2 23

4TH DOUBLE

3/1 462

3/3 56.5