Sha Tin · 2020-06-21
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FIRST RESPONDER CP-/B1/TT- 1.09.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BIG LUCK CHAMP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 88.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY VICTORY B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE CONSORT B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 8 | 111.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE B1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 124.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEEDY DRAGON T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 4 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TIGER GLARE H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 230.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | WAR LORD B-/E1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | JADE THEATRE B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 7.6 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME H/XB/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 2 | 7.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | HARD PROMISE K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 13 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SHIMMER AND SHINE CP- C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 55.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-06-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FIRST RESPONDER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with GOLDEN LINK second and BIG LUCK CHAMP third. The 2.3 favourite GOLDEN LINK finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 26.4% | 3.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME | 20.4% | 4.91 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY VICTORY | 10.3% | 9.74 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | JADE THEATRE | 9.4% | 10.68 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 9.2% | 10.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | WAR LORD | 5.4% | 18.66 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | HARD PROMISE | 4.4% | 22.76 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | SHIMMER AND SHINE | 4.1% | 24.12 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | FIRST RESPONDER | 3.3% | 29.87 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 2.6% | 38.69 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BIG LUCK CHAMP | 1.4% | 70.86 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE CONSORT | 1.2% | 80.59 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 1.2% | 82.39 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | TIGER GLARE | 0.7% | 148.43 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 81.5
PLACE
3 22
5 13.5
7 149
QUINELLA
3,5 105
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 45
3,7 724
5,7 269.5
TIERCE
3,5,7 10,753
TRIO
3,5,7 2,052
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 2,080
QUARTET
3,5,7,8 65,006
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 31.5
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
3/3 512
3/5 23.5