Sha Tin · 2021-09-12
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY Wire to wire B/TT 1.34.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | JIMMU SR J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 9.1 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 1 | 3.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER MONTE B-/CP2 K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 7 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 9 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 5 | 43.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING B/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 4 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | THE ELITES CP-/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 13 | 120.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 6 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | — | 43.0 | 2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-12 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LIGHT MY DAY, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with DAILY CHARM second and RIGHTEOUS WIN third. The winner led throughout. The 3.4 favourite JIMMU finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JIMMU | 28.4% | 3.52 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 18.6% | 5.37 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 12.3% | 8.14 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 10.9% | 9.21 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 5.1% | 19.64 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 4.9% | 20.34 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING | 4.9% | 20.56 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.5% | 28.27 | — |
| 9 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 3.1% | 32.55 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 2.7% | 36.73 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 2.6% | 37.94 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | THE ELITES | 1.5% | 64.69 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE | 1.5% | 68.18 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 106.5
PLACE
1 35.5
10 37
11 39.5
QUINELLA
1,10 714.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 214
1,11 231.5
10,11 232
FORECAST
10,1 1,916
TIERCE
10,1,11 14,222
TRIO
1,10,11 2,377
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 18,436
QUARTET
10,1,11,2 282,745
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 26.5
A2 —
A1 —