Sha Tin · 2021-09-12
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly P- 1.22.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 12 | 15.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | EASY FORTUNE Closed strongly CP C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 89.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly B/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 8.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 7 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ALLOY STAR Closed strongly B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | M M JOHNNY Closed strongly B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 9.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE B/XB1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 13 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE Closed strongly TT T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 10 | 187.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER KIN Led early TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 14 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | OURGOLDENRULES SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 21.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS B2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 51.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SAM'S LOVE TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 30.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-12 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN FOUR, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with EASY FORTUNE second and EVEN KEEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite SEIZE THE SPIRIT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 19.6% | 5.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ALLOY STAR | 16.8% | 5.95 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | FOX CHEUNGER | 13.2% | 7.59 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 11.9% | 8.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 8.3% | 12.07 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | OURGOLDENRULES | 7.6% | 13.15 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 6.6% | 15.06 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | M M JOHNNY | 5.5% | 18.14 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 4.3% | 23.17 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE | 2.8% | 36.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | EASY FORTUNE | 1.3% | 77.00 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS | 1.1% | 87.08 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE | 1.0% | 100.61 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 151.5
PLACE
1 200.5
4 40.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
1,4 5,714.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 1,486
1,12 912
4,12 168
FORECAST
4,1 10,539
TIERCE
4,1,12 97,750
TRIO
1,4,12 9,383
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 13,877
QUARTET
4,1,12,2 517,430
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/1,4,12 232,091
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 181
5/4 142