Sha Tin · 2021-09-12
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FLYING BONUS, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C H Yip, won by 2-1/4, with CANTSTOPTHEFEELING second and MEGA HEART third. The 4.3 favourite SPEEDY MOUSE finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING BONUS P 1.08.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 4 | 39.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | MEGA HEART XB/TT T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 6 | 59.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SPONTANEOUS Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 6.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | UTOPIA LIFE B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | SPEEDY MOUSE J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 4.3 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | GUNNISON CP- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SO WE JOY B1/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLD COMET B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 9.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 22.4% | 4.47 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | SPONTANEOUS | 21.9% | 4.56 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | GOLD COMET | 12.2% | 8.18 | 12 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 11.9% | 8.39 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | SO WE JOY | 6.0% | 16.62 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 5.7% | 17.53 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | GUNNISON | 4.7% | 21.13 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | FLYING BONUS | 4.6% | 21.80 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 4.4% | 22.92 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | MEGA HEART | 2.3% | 43.13 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | UTOPIA LIFE | 2.0% | 49.38 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 1.8% | 55.45 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 397
PLACE
3 85
7 32
11 60
QUINELLA
3,11 3,242
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 486.5
3,11 917
7,11 479
FORECAST
3,11 5,633
TIERCE
3,11,7 115,024
TRIO
3,7,11 11,579
FIRST 4
3,6,7,11 7,549
QUARTET
3,11,7,6 540,312
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23.5
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 1,385
1/11 246
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,12/1,5,9/Any Combination 356,749