Happy Valley · 2021-10-31
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS Closed strongly B 1.40.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 8 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE Closed strongly H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | JIMMU Closed strongly SR B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 5 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly B-/CP1 K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 11 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GRAND POWER B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART HUNTER SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS B/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 9 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SCHOLAR Led early H/XB/TT2 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 80.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE XB1/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 55.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-31 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ALL BEST FRIENDS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with RUN THE TABLE second and JIMMU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite RIGHTEOUS WIN finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 17.8% | 5.61 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 13.4% | 7.48 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 12.6% | 7.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | JIMMU | 11.7% | 8.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART HUNTER | 11.1% | 8.98 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 6.8% | 14.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 6.7% | 14.92 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 5.8% | 17.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE | 4.4% | 22.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 4.4% | 22.80 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 4.1% | 24.33 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | SCHOLAR | 1.1% | 87.82 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 61
PLACE
2 35
5 19.5
7 27
QUINELLA
2,5 270.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 101
2,7 130.5
5,7 87.5
FORECAST
5,2 563
TIERCE
5,2,7 3,737
TRIO
2,5,7 752
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 3,390
QUARTET
5,2,7,8 46,584
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23.5
A2 —