Happy Valley · 2021-10-31
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-31 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SUCCESS, ridden by V Borges and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with HANDSOME BO BO second and KURPANY third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS E 0.56.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | KURPANY TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 4.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 6.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 7.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | LOVING A BOOM TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | CLASSIC UNICORN B1/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 8.1 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KURPANY | 25.0% | 3.99 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO | 18.3% | 5.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM | 16.2% | 6.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN | 12.6% | 7.93 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | LOVING A BOOM | 11.7% | 8.58 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 10.4% | 9.63 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 5.8% | 17.27 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 37.5
PLACE
1 17
4 15.5
7 15.5
QUINELLA
1,7 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 38
1,7 36.5
4,7 37
FORECAST
7,1 197
TIERCE
7,1,4 745
TRIO
1,4,7 166
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 167
QUARTET
7,1,4,5 3,018
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 53.5
5/7 363
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 19