Happy Valley · 2021-10-31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND Wire to wire B 1.50.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 6.6 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V-/B2 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR CP-/B2 V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TAILOR MADE TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 2 | 5.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT CP-/XB- H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 89.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | METHANE B L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 5 | 6.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY PC K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 7 | 9.3 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY CP2/TT C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 10 | 42.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-31 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY DIAMOND, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with RED IMPACT second and MURRAY'S PARTNERS third. The winner led throughout. The 5.1 favourite TAILOR MADE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 28.5% | 3.51 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 12.7% | 7.87 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 11.1% | 8.97 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | METHANE | 9.1% | 11.03 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 7.6% | 13.23 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 7.1% | 13.99 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 4.4% | 22.64 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 4.0% | 24.99 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY | 3.6% | 28.00 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 3.1% | 32.36 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT | 2.8% | 35.22 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 66
PLACE
2 22.5
6 34
9 23
QUINELLA
6,9 425.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 120
2,9 70.5
6,9 139.5
FORECAST
9,6 935
TIERCE
9,6,2 4,294
TRIO
2,6,9 696
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 1,962
QUARTET
9,6,2,8 46,185
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/2,6,9 33,957
3 PICK 1
A2 28
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/6 58.5
7/9 123.5