Happy Valley · 2021-10-31
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly B/XB 2.16.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 11 | 6.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BLASTOISE Led early L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 9 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 6 | 8.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 6.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NORDIC SKY SR/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPERBELLA V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.1 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GREEN LASER B-/TT T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 3 | 99.0 | 22-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H-/XB K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 17.0 | 25-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-31 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. GOD OF DRAGON, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with ABOVE second and BLASTOISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite GOLDEN SPECTRUM finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 16.8% | 5.97 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 13.9% | 7.22 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 12.7% | 7.85 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 12.3% | 8.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | STIMULATION | 11.8% | 8.46 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | ABOVE | 8.6% | 11.66 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 8.3% | 12.03 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | VINCY | 7.4% | 13.50 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 4.6% | 21.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 2.6% | 38.90 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 1.1% | 94.45 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 51.5
PLACE
8 26.5
9 21.5
11 19
QUINELLA
9,11 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 102
8,11 75.5
9,11 59
FORECAST
11,9 326
TIERCE
11,9,8 2,277
TRIO
8,9,11 406
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 1,037
QUARTET
11,9,8,2 16,969
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/9 89.5
9/11 422