Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 17:18
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER TEN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with MALDIVES second and GOLDEN EMPIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite GOLDEN EMPIRE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER TEN Closed strongly B-/XB-/SR1/TT1 1.21.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.6 | N |
| 2 | 3 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 3.1 | N |
| 4 | 8 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 3 | 38.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | DRAGON FORTUNE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 4.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 9 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 130.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | JOLLY RULER H/TT1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | SEATTLE CHOICE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 5 | 46.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | SHADOW MISSION Led early H- C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 4 | 206.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE | 46.4% | 2.16 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 18.3% | 5.47 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 7.3% | 13.76 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | MALDIVES | 5.0% | 19.89 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 4.3% | 23.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 13 | COUNTRY BOY | 4.1% | 24.11 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | STORM LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.46 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 3.2% | 31.20 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | SMOOTHIES | 2.1% | 48.72 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 1.8% | 56.05 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER TEN | 1.4% | 69.31 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | JOLLY RULER | 1.4% | 71.54 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 0.4% | 240.37 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | SHADOW MISSION | 0.4% | 280.91 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 96
PLACE
3 45.5
7 14.5
12 30.5
QUINELLA
3,12 1,076
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 86.5
3,12 248
7,12 71
FORECAST
12,3 1,997
TIERCE
12,3,7 8,420
TRIO
3,7,12 985
FIRST 4
3,7,8,12 5,175
QUARTET
12,3,7,8 143,988
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 30.5
A2 —
A1 —
9TH DOUBLE
8/3 57
8/12 302.5