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Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 17:18

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER TEN Closed strongly B-/XB-/SR1/TT1 1.21.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 9.6 N
2 0 MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall 10 20.0 N
3 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 7 3.1 N
4 0 STORM LEGEND Closed strongly L Currie · C Fownes 3 38.0 1/2
5 0 CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 6 4.5 2-1/4
6 0 DRAGON FORTUNE Closed strongly TT K C Leung · F C Lor 2 17.0 2-1/4
7 0 BEAUTY LIVE TT J Moreira · F C Lor 14 4.3 2-1/4
8 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON H M Chadwick · T P Yung 9 15.0 3
9 0 PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly CP H Bentley · K H Ting 11 130.0 4
10 0 JOLLY RULER H/TT1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu 13 35.0 4-3/4
11 0 SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 8 21.0 5
12 0 COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 12 31.0 5-1/4
13 0 SEATTLE CHOICE L Ferraris · A T Millard 5 46.0 6-1/2
14 0 SHADOW MISSION Led early H- C L Chau · Y S Tsui 4 206.0 6-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER TEN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with MALDIVES second and GOLDEN EMPIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite GOLDEN EMPIRE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER TEN—2. MALDIVES+0.05L3. GOLDEN EMPIRE+0.05L4. STORM LEGEND+0.5L5. CIRCUIT STELLAR+2.25L6. DRAGON FORTUNE+2.25L7. BEAUTY LIVE+2.25L8. MILLENNIUM FALCON+3L9. PEGASUS GENERAL+4L10. JOLLY RULER+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BEAUTY LIVE (46.4%) finished 7th — the winner SUPER TEN was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY LIVE 46.4% 2.16 7
2 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE 18.3% 5.47 3
3 0 CIRCUIT STELLAR 7.3% 13.76 5
4 0 MALDIVES 5.0% 19.89 2
5 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON 4.3% 23.10 8
6 0 COUNTRY BOY 4.1% 24.11 12
7 0 STORM LEGEND 3.9% 25.46 4
8 0 DRAGON FORTUNE 3.2% 31.20 6
9 0 SMOOTHIES 2.1% 48.72 11
10 0 SEATTLE CHOICE 1.8% 56.05 13
11 0 SUPER TEN 1.4% 69.31 1
12 0 JOLLY RULER 1.4% 71.54 10
13 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 0.4% 240.37 9
14 0 SHADOW MISSION 0.4% 280.91 14
BEAUTY LIVEGOLDEN EMPIRECIRCUIT STELLARMALDIVESMILLENNIUM FALCONCOUNTRY BOYSTORM LEGENDDRAGON FORTUNESMOOTHIESSEATTLE CHOICESUPER TEN — wonJOLLY RULERPEGASUS GENERALSHADOW MISSION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 96

PLACE

3 45.5

7 14.5

12 30.5

QUINELLA

3,12 1,076

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 86.5

3,12 248

7,12 71

FORECAST

12,3 1,997

TIERCE

12,3,7 8,420

TRIO

3,7,12 985

FIRST 4

3,7,8,12 5,175

QUARTET

12,3,7,8 143,988

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 30.5

A1 —

A2 —

9TH DOUBLE

8/3 57

8/12 302.5