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Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 13:26

Race 3

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B 1.33.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum 2 7.5 1-1/2
2 0 ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 6 6.7 1-1/2
3 0 LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size 5 5.4 1-1/2
4 0 GOLDEN LINK Closed strongly M Chadwick · P F Yiu 7 14.0 2-1/2
5 0 MY ECSTATIC Led early TT K C Leung · F C Lor 1 5.9 2-3/4
6 0 ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A T Millard 9 18.0 4-1/4
7 0 BOOM ALLIANCE SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 3 10.0 4-1/2
8 0 SUPER WINNER TT C Wong · C H Yip 4 7.7 8
9 0 BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H M L Yeung · K W Lui 10 110.0 8-1/4
10 0 PRECISE EXPRESS H/TT J Moreira · P F Yiu 8 4.8 8-1/4
11 0 HAPPY ANGEL CP H W Lai · D A Hayes 11 73.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY GRACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with ROYAL BOMB second and LEADING FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite PRECISE EXPRESS finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHARITY GRACE—2. ROYAL BOMB+1.5L3. LEADING FORTUNE+1.5L4. GOLDEN LINK+2.5L5. MY ECSTATIC+2.75L6. ULTRA EXPRESS+4.25L7. BOOM ALLIANCE+4.5L8. SUPER WINNER+8L9. BORN THE SAME DAY+8.25L10. PRECISE EXPRESS+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MY ECSTATIC (23.5%) finished 5th — the winner CHARITY GRACE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MY ECSTATIC 23.5% 4.25 5
2 0 LEADING FORTUNE 17.9% 5.59 3
3 0 CHARITY GRACE 12.3% 8.10 1
4 0 ROYAL BOMB 11.2% 8.92 2
5 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 10.8% 9.26 10
6 0 ULTRA EXPRESS 10.1% 9.88 6
7 0 SUPER WINNER 6.2% 16.14 8
8 0 GOLDEN LINK 4.5% 22.34 4
9 0 BOOM ALLIANCE 1.8% 56.40 7
10 0 HAPPY ANGEL 1.1% 88.83 11
11 0 BORN THE SAME DAY 0.6% 174.40 9
MY ECSTATICLEADING FORTUNECHARITY GRACE — wonROYAL BOMBPRECISE EXPRESSULTRA EXPRESSSUPER WINNERGOLDEN LINKBOOM ALLIANCEHAPPY ANGELBORN THE SAME DAY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 75

PLACE

2 24.5

4 24

5 19

QUINELLA

2,4 274.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 86

2,5 91.5

4,5 72

FORECAST

2,4 769

TIERCE

2,4,5 2,595

TRIO

2,4,5 381

FIRST 4

2,3,4,5 794

QUARTET

2,4,5,3 19,905

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

6/2 748

6/4 87

3 PICK 1

A2 19.5

A3 —

A1 —