Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 13:26
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY GRACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with ROYAL BOMB second and LEADING FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite PRECISE EXPRESS finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B 1.33.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 6.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN LINK Closed strongly M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | MY ECSTATIC Led early TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 9 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER WINNER TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 7.7 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 110.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | PRECISE EXPRESS H/TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.8 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY ANGEL CP H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 11 | 73.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MY ECSTATIC | 23.5% | 4.25 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | LEADING FORTUNE | 17.9% | 5.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | CHARITY GRACE | 12.3% | 8.10 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | ROYAL BOMB | 11.2% | 8.92 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 10.8% | 9.26 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 10.1% | 9.88 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER WINNER | 6.2% | 16.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLDEN LINK | 4.5% | 22.34 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 1.8% | 56.40 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY ANGEL | 1.1% | 88.83 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 0.6% | 174.40 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 75
PLACE
2 24.5
4 24
5 19
QUINELLA
2,4 274.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 86
2,5 91.5
4,5 72
FORECAST
2,4 769
TIERCE
2,4,5 2,595
TRIO
2,4,5 381
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 794
QUARTET
2,4,5,3 19,905
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 748
6/4 87
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A1 —
A3 —