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Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 12:56

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KAI XIN DRAGON TT2 1.09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes 1 7.8 1-1/2
2 0 ONE VOICE TT1 C Y Ho · F C Lor 5 2.8 1-1/2
4 0 SUGAR SUGAR B/H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 6 35.0 2-1/4
5 0 FUN N GLORY TT Z Purton · W Y So 10 4.6 2-1/2
6 0 SNOWALOT L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan 11 31.0 4
7 0 HO HO JUNIOR H L Currie · D J Hall 13 292.0 6
8 0 RIVER VIEWS TT- C L Chau · T P Yung 7 38.0 6-3/4
9 0 GOLD GOLD BABY B/TT A Badel · K W Lui 3 165.0 7
10 0 WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · L Ho 14 15.0 7-1/4
11 0 SIX BEST FRIENDS TT M Chadwick · K L Man 9 156.0 14-1/2
12 0 IRON KING TT M F Poon · C H Yip 12 93.0 18-3/4
13 0 HEI WONGCHOY TT1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui 2 153.0 38
— 0 LESLIE B1 J Moreira · P F Yiu — 3.0 2
— 0 FALCON TURBO K Teetan · D J Whyte — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KAI XIN DRAGON, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with ONE VOICE second and SUGAR SUGAR third. The 2.8 favourite ONE VOICE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KAI XIN DRAGON—2. ONE VOICE+1.5L4. SUGAR SUGAR+2.25L5. FUN N GLORY+2.5L6. SNOWALOT+4L7. HO HO JUNIOR+6L8. RIVER VIEWS+6.75L9. GOLD GOLD BABY+7L10. WOODFIRE BRO+7.25L11. SIX BEST FRIENDS+14.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LESLIE 28.2% 3.55 —
2 0 FUN N GLORY 26.7% 3.75 5
3 0 WOODFIRE BRO 13.9% 7.20 10
4 0 KAI XIN DRAGON 8.1% 12.28 1
5 0 ONE VOICE 7.5% 13.25 2
6 0 RIVER VIEWS 5.1% 19.71 8
7 0 SIX BEST FRIENDS 2.8% 35.34 11
8 0 SUGAR SUGAR 2.0% 49.59 4
9 0 IRON KING 1.9% 52.85 12
10 0 GOLD GOLD BABY 1.6% 62.92 9
11 0 SNOWALOT 1.3% 75.20 6
12 0 HO HO JUNIOR 0.5% 217.86 7
13 0 HEI WONGCHOY 0.4% 239.68 13
LESLIEFUN N GLORYWOODFIRE BROKAI XIN DRAGON — wonONE VOICERIVER VIEWSSIX BEST FRIENDSSUGAR SUGARIRON KINGGOLD GOLD BABYSNOWALOTHO HO JUNIORHEI WONGCHOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 78.5

PLACE

4 13

6 21.5

10 14.5

QUINELLA

6,10 112.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 37

4,10 20.5

6,10 39

FORECAST

6,10 343

TIERCE

6,10,4 792

TRIO

4,6,10 78

FIRST 4

4,6,10,13 448

QUARTET

6,10,4,13 10,258

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/3,10 53

3/6 1,156.5

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 29