Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 12:56
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KAI XIN DRAGON, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with ONE VOICE second and LESLIE third. The 2.8 favourite ONE VOICE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT2 1.09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | ONE VOICE TT1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | LESLIE B1 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | SUGAR SUGAR B/H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FUN N GLORY TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | SNOWALOT L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR H L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 13 | 292.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | RIVER VIEWS TT- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 38.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GOLD GOLD BABY B/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 3 | 165.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 14 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SIX BEST FRIENDS TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 156.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | IRON KING TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 93.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | HEI WONGCHOY TT1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 153.0 | 38 |
| — | 3 | FALCON TURBO K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LESLIE | 28.2% | 3.55 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | FUN N GLORY | 26.7% | 3.75 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO | 13.9% | 7.20 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 8.1% | 12.28 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | ONE VOICE | 7.5% | 13.25 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | RIVER VIEWS | 5.1% | 19.71 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 2.8% | 35.34 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | SUGAR SUGAR | 2.0% | 49.59 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | IRON KING | 1.9% | 52.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 1.6% | 62.92 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | SNOWALOT | 1.3% | 75.20 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | HO HO JUNIOR | 0.5% | 217.86 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | HEI WONGCHOY | 0.4% | 239.68 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 78.5
PLACE
4 13
6 21.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
6,10 112.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 37
4,10 20.5
6,10 39
FORECAST
6,10 343
TIERCE
6,10,4 792
TRIO
4,6,10 78
FIRST 4
4,6,10,13 448
QUARTET
6,10,4,13 10,258
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3,10 53
3/6 1,156.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29