Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 16:08
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.32.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 1.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly B/E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 71.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | WAIKUKU V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 66.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 94.0 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 4 | 82.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with CALIFORNIA SPANGLE second and EXCELLENT PROPOSAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 40.2% | 2.49 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 20.0% | 5.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MORE THAN THIS | 12.9% | 7.73 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 10.1% | 9.88 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | WAIKUKU | 7.0% | 14.21 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 4.8% | 21.01 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 2.8% | 35.83 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 2.1% | 47.51 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 14
PLACE
1 10.1
7 38.5
8 10.1
QUINELLA
1,8 14.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 45
1,8 10.5
7,8 58
FORECAST
1,8 22
TIERCE
1,8,7 131
TRIO
1,7,8 68
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 97
QUARTET
1,8,7,6 453
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,14/1,7,8 20,588
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14
7TH DOUBLE
14/1 1,722
14/8 366
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B1 14
B3 —