Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 13:56

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B 1.21.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Hall 3 17.0 HD
2 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 10 9.2 HD
3 0 ERIMO H J Moreira · J Size 12 3.0 1/2
4 0 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum 4 10.0 3/4
5 0 SPARKY STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung 2 3.0 1-1/4
6 0 HEARTY WISH Closed strongly B-/H-/SR2/TT L Currie · D J Whyte 1 29.0 2-3/4
7 0 STAR CONTACT Led early B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes 6 10.0 2-3/4
8 0 ROCKPAPERSCISSORS Closed strongly CP1/TT1 M F Poon · F C Lor 7 122.0 3-1/2
9 0 FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H K C Leung · A T Millard 5 61.0 3-3/4
10 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY B-/TT A Badel · K L Man 14 22.0 4
11 0 ISLAND SHINE B V Borges · P F Yiu 13 126.0 7-3/4
12 0 CONCERTO B1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 8 262.0 9-1/4
13 0 GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui 11 30.0 10
14 0 MAXIMIZE HEART B C L Chau · C H Yip 9 22.0 12-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KUNG FU TEA, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with LIGHT OF WANSHI second and ERIMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite ERIMO finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KUNG FU TEA—2. LIGHT OF WANSHI+0.2L3. ERIMO+0.5L4. CASA LEGEND+0.75L5. SPARKY STAR+1.25L6. HEARTY WISH+2.75L7. STAR CONTACT+2.75L8. ROCKPAPERSCISSORS+3.5L9. FIERY FLYING+3.75L10. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ERIMO (29.3%) finished 3rd — the winner KUNG FU TEA was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ERIMO 29.3% 3.41 3
2 0 SPARKY STAR 25.8% 3.87 5
3 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI 7.1% 14.17 2
4 0 STAR CONTACT 6.1% 16.45 7
5 0 ROCKPAPERSCISSORS 5.7% 17.42 8
6 0 GALLANT WAKING 5.0% 20.09 13
7 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 4.1% 24.60 14
8 0 CASA LEGEND 3.9% 25.87 4
9 0 HEARTY WISH 3.8% 26.60 6
10 0 KUNG FU TEA 3.0% 33.03 1
11 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 2.5% 40.42 10
12 0 FIERY FLYING 2.0% 49.64 9
13 0 ISLAND SHINE 1.3% 76.66 11
14 0 CONCERTO 0.5% 197.88 12
ERIMOSPARKY STARLIGHT OF WANSHISTAR CONTACTROCKPAPERSCISSORSGALLANT WAKINGMAXIMIZE HEARTCASA LEGENDHEARTY WISHKUNG FU TEA — wonCIRCUIT MIGHTYFIERY FLYINGISLAND SHINECONCERTO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 172

PLACE

2 35

4 14.5

14 36.5

QUINELLA

2,14 815

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 64.5

2,14 223.5

4,14 95

FORECAST

14,2 1,910

TIERCE

14,2,4 8,544

TRIO

2,4,14 998

FIRST 4

2,4,12,14 1,269

QUARTET

14,2,4,12 46,854

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 40

A2 —

3RD DOUBLE

2/2 87.5

2/14 1,353