Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 13:56
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KUNG FU TEA, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with LIGHT OF WANSHI second and ERIMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite ERIMO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B 1.21.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 3 | 17.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 9.2 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | ERIMO H J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | HEARTY WISH Closed strongly B-/H-/SR2/TT L Currie · D J Whyte | L Currie | D J Whyte | 1 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | STAR CONTACT Led early B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ROCKPAPERSCISSORS Closed strongly CP1/TT1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 122.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 5 | 61.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B-/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 14 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | ISLAND SHINE B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 13 | 126.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CONCERTO B1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 262.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 30.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | MAXIMIZE HEART B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 22.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ERIMO | 29.3% | 3.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SPARKY STAR | 25.8% | 3.87 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 7.1% | 14.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | STAR CONTACT | 6.1% | 16.45 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | ROCKPAPERSCISSORS | 5.7% | 17.42 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | GALLANT WAKING | 5.0% | 20.09 | 13 |
| 7 | 5 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 4.1% | 24.60 | 14 |
| 8 | 12 | CASA LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.87 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | HEARTY WISH | 3.8% | 26.60 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | KUNG FU TEA | 3.0% | 33.03 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 2.5% | 40.42 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | FIERY FLYING | 2.0% | 49.64 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | ISLAND SHINE | 1.3% | 76.66 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | CONCERTO | 0.5% | 197.88 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 172
PLACE
2 35
4 14.5
14 36.5
QUINELLA
2,14 815
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 64.5
2,14 223.5
4,14 95
FORECAST
14,2 1,910
TIERCE
14,2,4 8,544
TRIO
2,4,14 998
FIRST 4
2,4,12,14 1,269
QUARTET
14,2,4,12 46,854
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 40
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 87.5
2/14 1,353