Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 14:28
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with SAVAQUIN second and TURIN REDSUN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT 1.33.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly SR-/B1/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 5 | 44.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SOULMATE E K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MY SUGAR CP C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | BELUGA H L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 10 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 11 | 23.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 21.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY | 41.1% | 2.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SAVAQUIN | 15.2% | 6.56 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | SOULMATE | 11.9% | 8.42 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | MY SUGAR | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | BELUGA | 6.0% | 16.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.5% | 18.11 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 4.6% | 21.64 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | TURIN REDSUN | 3.1% | 32.22 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | FLYING QUEST | 1.9% | 51.97 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | CIRCUIT THREE | 1.7% | 57.63 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | BOURBONAIRE | 1.0% | 96.45 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 13
3 24
4 18
QUINELLA
1,3 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 48
1,4 31.5
3,4 74
FORECAST
1,3 175
TIERCE
1,3,4 514
TRIO
1,3,4 163
FIRST 4
1,3,4,9 1,149
QUARTET
1,3,4,9 12,812
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,14/1,3,4 12,457
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
14/1 582.5
14/3 276.5