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Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 16:43

Race 9

Group 1 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 2.00.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 2.00.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum 4 1.8 2
2 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 2 21.0 2
3 0 PANFIELD Closed strongly B-/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard 7 74.0 2-1/4
4 0 KA YING STAR V/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 9 54.0 2-1/4
5 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B B Shinn · D J Whyte 5 2.9 2-1/2
6 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 19.0 3
7 0 ZEBROWSKI TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 10 18.0 3-1/4
8 0 RELIABLE TEAM Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor 1 60.0 3-1/2
9 0 CHEERFUL DAYS Z Purton · K W Lui 3 16.0 6-1/4
10 0 SAVVY NINE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte 8 18.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with TOURBILLON DIAMOND second and PANFIELD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMANTIC WARRIOR—2. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+2L3. PANFIELD+2.25L4. KA YING STAR+2.25L5. RUSSIAN EMPEROR+2.5L6. COLUMBUS COUNTY+3L7. ZEBROWSKI+3.25L8. RELIABLE TEAM+3.5L9. CHEERFUL DAYS+6.25L10. SAVVY NINE+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ROMANTIC WARRIOR (27.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROMANTIC WARRIOR 27.7% 3.61 1
2 0 CHEERFUL DAYS 27.0% 3.70 9
3 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR 13.0% 7.70 5
4 0 ZEBROWSKI 8.5% 11.80 7
5 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 6.4% 15.72 2
6 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY 6.3% 15.81 6
7 0 SAVVY NINE 4.6% 21.72 10
8 0 KA YING STAR 2.8% 35.46 4
9 0 PANFIELD 2.0% 49.03 3
10 0 RELIABLE TEAM 1.7% 60.32 8
ROMANTIC WARRIOR — wonCHEERFUL DAYSRUSSIAN EMPERORZEBROWSKITOURBILLON DIAMONDCOLUMBUS COUNTYSAVVY NINEKA YING STARPANFIELDRELIABLE TEAM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 18

PLACE

3 33.5

5 110

8 10.1

QUINELLA

3,8 124.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 717.5

3,8 47

5,8 150

FORECAST

8,3 193

TIERCE

8,3,5 3,952

TRIO

3,5,8 1,936

FIRST 4

2,3,5,8 6,326

QUARTET

8,3,5,2 55,309

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 11

8TH DOUBLE

1/3 62.5

1/8 38

WINNING TRAINER

B1 —

B4 —

B3 —

B2 16.5