Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 16:43
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with TOURBILLON DIAMOND second and PANFIELD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 2.00.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | PANFIELD Closed strongly B-/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 74.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | KA YING STAR V/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 54.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 5 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | ZEBROWSKI TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | RELIABLE TEAM Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 60.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | CHEERFUL DAYS Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SAVVY NINE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 27.7% | 3.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 27.0% | 3.70 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 13.0% | 7.70 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | ZEBROWSKI | 8.5% | 11.80 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 6.4% | 15.72 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 6.3% | 15.81 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SAVVY NINE | 4.6% | 21.72 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | KA YING STAR | 2.8% | 35.46 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | PANFIELD | 2.0% | 49.03 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | RELIABLE TEAM | 1.7% | 60.32 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 18
PLACE
3 33.5
5 110
8 10.1
QUINELLA
3,8 124.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 717.5
3,8 47
5,8 150
FORECAST
8,3 193
TIERCE
8,3,5 3,952
TRIO
3,5,8 1,936
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 6,326
QUARTET
8,3,5,2 55,309
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 11
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/3 62.5
1/8 38
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B2 16.5
B3 —
B4 —