Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 15:03
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WELLINGTON, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/4, with COMPUTER PATCH second and SKY FIELD third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WELLINGTON XB 1.08.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | COMPUTER PATCH CP1/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SKY FIELD TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER WEALTHY H L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HOT KING PRAWN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SIGHT SUCCESS E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 3.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | STRONGER SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | LUCKY EXPRESS B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 6.1 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | KURPANY B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 120.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 8 | MASTER EIGHT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 28.5% | 3.50 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | LUCKY PATCH | 16.6% | 6.02 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | HOT KING PRAWN | 12.3% | 8.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | WELLINGTON | 9.6% | 10.40 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 9.4% | 10.69 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER WEALTHY | 7.7% | 13.01 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | STRONGER | 5.6% | 17.92 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | COMPUTER PATCH | 4.0% | 25.19 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | KURPANY | 3.3% | 30.33 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 3.1% | 32.57 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 29
PLACE
1 17.5
2 13.5
9 44
QUINELLA
2,9 338
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 32.5
1,9 127.5
2,9 96
FORECAST
2,9 528
TIERCE
2,9,1 2,102
TRIO
1,2,9 466
FIRST 4
1,2,7,9 1,471
QUARTET
2,9,1,7 25,498
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/2,8 88
1/9 111.5
WINNING TRAINER
B3 —
B2 29
B4 —
B1 —