Sha Tin · 2022-04-24 · 18:02
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX B B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 10 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ROCK YA HEART TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 1 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TRILLION WIN CP-/B1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 13 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MAJESTIC STAR C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 12 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DUKE WAI B/H M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 33.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RED DESERT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 64.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR B H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 4 | 90.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | KING LAND TT1 M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 7 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | THE RUNNER V C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 123.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | — | 5.2 | 3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-24 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CORDYCEPS SIX, ridden by B Shinn and trained by R Gibson, won by 3/4, with ROCK YA HEART second and BLAZE WARRIOR third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 28.0% | 3.58 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 13.0% | 7.70 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ROCK YA HEART | 10.3% | 9.69 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 8.7% | 11.44 | — |
| 5 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM | 8.4% | 11.92 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MAJESTIC STAR | 7.0% | 14.23 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | TRILLION WIN | 4.9% | 20.31 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | RED DESERT | 4.6% | 21.83 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER | 3.8% | 26.02 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | KING LAND | 3.6% | 28.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 3.4% | 29.62 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 2.6% | 37.82 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 1.6% | 61.04 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 52.5
PLACE
4 14
10 37.5
11 20
QUINELLA
4,11 96
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 75.5
4,11 36.5
10,11 134.5
FORECAST
11,4 249
TIERCE
11,4,10 2,179
TRIO
4,10,11 402
FIRST 4
3,4,10,11 240
QUARTET
11,4,10,3 8,024
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
12/4 72
12/11 931
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 29
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,12/4,10,11 29,617
SIX UP
2,8,9/8,14/1,8/3,8/3,12/4,11 6,364
2,8/14/1/8/12/11 784,497
4 [B Shinn] —
TREBLE
8/12/4 201
8/12/11 1,980