Sha Tin · 2023-01-01 · 17:18
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-01 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. METRO WARRIOR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with PLEASANT ENDEAVOR second and SUPERB BOY third. The 2.6 favourite WE ARE HERO finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | METRO WARRIOR B 0.57.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 8.7 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SUPERB BOY TT1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | WE ARE HERO V/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 13 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SPECIAL M PC/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 10 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FLYING DRAGON H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | MAGIC TORONADO XB1 L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 9 | 267.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | CLASSIC POSH M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 115.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | WINNING HEART B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 190.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | LIFE IS GOOD XB1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 4 | 65.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPERB BOY | 21.8% | 4.60 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | WE ARE HERO | 20.1% | 4.99 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | SPECIAL M | 11.5% | 8.72 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.4% | 11.91 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | MARK THE MOMENT | 8.2% | 12.23 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL | 7.8% | 12.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | FLYING DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.81 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.1% | 19.73 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 3.7% | 27.17 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 2.7% | 37.27 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | LIFE IS GOOD | 2.5% | 40.56 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | CLASSIC POSH | 1.4% | 71.35 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | WINNING HEART | 0.9% | 107.67 | 13 |
| 14 | 13 | MAGIC TORONADO | 0.9% | 115.68 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 137.5
PLACE
5 35.5
7 14.5
8 23.5
QUINELLA
5,8 432
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 107.5
5,8 125
7,8 57.5
FORECAST
5,8 934
TIERCE
5,8,7 5,591
TRIO
5,7,8 776
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 379
QUARTET
5,8,7,10 14,964
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 32.5
A2 —
9TH DOUBLE
2/5 1,740.5
2/8 114.5