Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-01-01 · 17:18

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 0.57.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 METRO WARRIOR B 0.57.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D A Hayes 2 13.0 N
2 0 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu 14 8.7 N
3 0 SUPERB BOY TT1 Z Purton · K W Lui 12 3.9 1/2
4 0 WE ARE HERO V/TT S De Sousa · K L Man 13 2.6 1/2
5 0 CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 21.0 1-3/4
6 0 SPECIAL M PC/TT K Teetan · J Size 7 14.0 1-3/4
7 0 MARK THE MOMENT V/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 10 11.0 2
8 0 RUN RUN COOL PC H Bowman · F C Lor 8 11.0 4-1/4
9 0 FLYING DRAGON H Bentley · C H Yip 5 23.0 5-1/2
10 0 MAGIC TORONADO XB1 L Currie · W Y So 9 267.0 5-3/4
11 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte 11 44.0 6
12 0 CLASSIC POSH M F Poon · D J Hall 6 115.0 6-1/2
13 0 WINNING HEART B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 3 190.0 13
14 0 LIFE IS GOOD XB1 R Maia · R Gibson 4 65.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-01 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. METRO WARRIOR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with PLEASANT ENDEAVOR second and SUPERB BOY third. The 2.6 favourite WE ARE HERO finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. METRO WARRIOR—2. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR+0.05L3. SUPERB BOY+0.5L4. WE ARE HERO+0.5L5. CALIFORNIA RAD+1.75L6. SPECIAL M+1.75L7. MARK THE MOMENT+2L8. RUN RUN COOL+4.25L9. FLYING DRAGON+5.5L10. MAGIC TORONADO+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SUPERB BOY (21.8%) finished 3rd — the winner METRO WARRIOR was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPERB BOY 21.8% 4.60 3
2 0 WE ARE HERO 20.1% 4.99 4
3 0 SPECIAL M 11.5% 8.72 6
4 0 METRO WARRIOR 8.4% 11.91 1
5 0 MARK THE MOMENT 8.2% 12.23 7
6 0 RUN RUN COOL 7.8% 12.90 8
7 0 FLYING DRAGON 5.3% 18.81 9
8 0 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 5.1% 19.73 2
9 0 CALIFORNIA RAD 3.7% 27.17 5
10 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE 2.7% 37.27 11
11 0 LIFE IS GOOD 2.5% 40.56 14
12 0 CLASSIC POSH 1.4% 71.35 12
13 0 WINNING HEART 0.9% 107.67 13
14 0 MAGIC TORONADO 0.9% 115.68 10
SUPERB BOYWE ARE HEROSPECIAL MMETRO WARRIOR — wonMARK THE MOMENTRUN RUN COOLFLYING DRAGONPLEASANT ENDEAVORCALIFORNIA RADVALIANT ELEGANCELIFE IS GOODCLASSIC POSHWINNING HEARTMAGIC TORONADO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 137.5

PLACE

5 35.5

7 14.5

8 23.5

QUINELLA

5,8 432

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 107.5

5,8 125

7,8 57.5

FORECAST

5,8 934

TIERCE

5,8,7 5,591

TRIO

5,7,8 776

FIRST 4

5,7,8,10 379

QUARTET

5,8,7,10 14,964

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 32.5

9TH DOUBLE

2/5 1,740.5

2/8 114.5