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Sha Tin · 2023-01-01 · 16:42

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C 10 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ATULLIBIGEAL, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with GLOBAL HARMONY second and EN POINTE third. The 3.3 favourite EN POINTE finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 ATULLIBIGEAL B/XB/H2 1.09.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall 10 5.7 N
2 10 GLOBAL HARMONY CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 9.7 N
3 3 EN POINTE CP S De Sousa · F C Lor 2 3.3 1/2
4 1 GOKO WIN C Wong · C H Yip 11 78.0 2
5 6 CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 4.4 2-1/2
6 12 WORLD FAMOUS B H T Mo · P F Yiu 12 44.0 2-3/4
7 7 PUBLICIST B/H/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 5 24.0 3
8 11 SUPER VINCE XB/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 8 6.6 4-1/4
9 4 CRYSTAL POWERFUL R Maia · C S Shum 9 48.0 6-1/4
10 8 REVE PARISIEN CP1 M F Poon · P C Ng 4 6.2 15-1/4
5 BEAUTY ETERNAL Z Purton · J Size
9 WONDER KIT C Y Ho · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ATULLIBIGEAL2. GLOBAL HARMONY+0.05L3. EN POINTE+0.5L4. GOKO WIN+2L5. CALIFORNIA CONCORD+2.5L6. WORLD FAMOUS+2.75L7. PUBLICIST+3L8. SUPER VINCE+4.25L9. CRYSTAL POWERFUL+6.25L10. REVE PARISIEN+15.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick EN POINTE (31.1%) finished 3rd — the winner ATULLIBIGEAL was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 EN POINTE 31.1% 3.22 3
2 11 SUPER VINCE 14.4% 6.93 8
3 2 ATULLIBIGEAL 13.7% 7.29 1
4 6 CALIFORNIA CONCORD 11.3% 8.85 5
5 8 REVE PARISIEN 8.5% 11.71 10
6 10 GLOBAL HARMONY 6.9% 14.48 2
7 12 WORLD FAMOUS 4.0% 25.15 6
8 7 PUBLICIST 3.8% 26.50 7
9 4 CRYSTAL POWERFUL 3.7% 26.85 9
10 1 GOKO WIN 2.6% 39.09 4
EN POINTESUPER VINCEATULLIBIGEAL — wonCALIFORNIA CONCORDREVE PARISIENGLOBAL HARMONYWORLD FAMOUSPUBLICISTCRYSTAL POWERFULGOKO WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 57.5

PLACE

2 20

3 15.5

10 23

QUINELLA

2,10 258.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 39

2,10 67

3,10 50

A3

A2

A1

FORECAST

2,10 488

TIERCE

2,10,3 1,696

TRIO

2,3,10 266

FIRST 4

1,2,3,10 2,036

QUARTET

2,10,3,1 36,518

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

2/2 278

2/10 112.5