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Sha Tin · 2023-01-01 · 15:36

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course C 10 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-01 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. IMA SINGLE MAN, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with KA YING MASTER second and ROCK YA HEART third. The 3.3 favourite POWER KOEPP finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.08.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT 1.08.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 8.4 3/4
2 4 KA YING MASTER TT C L Chau · T P Yung 1 24.0 3/4
3 9 ROCK YA HEART TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 3 13.0 1-1/4
4 1 WINNING DREAMER C Y Ho · F C Lor 4 12.0 1-1/2
5 10 POWER KOEPP E S De Sousa · J Size 5 3.3 1-1/2
6 7 PING HAI GALAXY Z Purton · J Size 6 5.8 2
7 2 TRILLION WIN TT L Ferraris · K L Man 7 9.0 3
8 6 GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M F Poon · W Y So 2 65.0 4
9 8 BUZZINGA H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 8 5.9 6-1/2
10 5 ORIENTAL SMOKE B H Bowman · D A Hayes 10 7.5 9-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. IMA SINGLE MAN2. KA YING MASTER+0.75L3. ROCK YA HEART+1.25L4. WINNING DREAMER+1.5L5. POWER KOEPP+1.5L6. PING HAI GALAXY+2L7. TRILLION WIN+3L8. GRATEFUL HEART+4L9. BUZZINGA+6.5L10. ORIENTAL SMOKE+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick POWER KOEPP (20.0%) finished 5th — the winner IMA SINGLE MAN was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 POWER KOEPP 20.0% 5.00 5
2 7 PING HAI GALAXY 18.3% 5.46 6
3 8 BUZZINGA 13.9% 7.20 9
4 9 ROCK YA HEART 11.0% 9.12 3
5 5 ORIENTAL SMOKE 9.9% 10.15 10
6 2 TRILLION WIN 6.9% 14.47 7
7 4 KA YING MASTER 6.7% 14.94 2
8 3 IMA SINGLE MAN 4.9% 20.61 1
9 1 WINNING DREAMER 4.4% 22.93 4
10 6 GRATEFUL HEART 4.2% 24.08 8
POWER KOEPPPING HAI GALAXYBUZZINGAROCK YA HEARTORIENTAL SMOKETRILLION WINKA YING MASTERIMA SINGLE MAN — wonWINNING DREAMERGRATEFUL HEART

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 84.5

PLACE

3 27.5

4 41.5

9 39

QUINELLA

3,4 1,035.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 263.5

3,9 162

4,9 246.5

FORECAST

3,4 1,843

TIERCE

3,4,9 15,777

TRIO

3,4,9 3,215

FIRST 4

1,3,4,9 5,054

QUARTET

3,4,9,1 117,564

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 28

A2

6TH DOUBLE

6/3 2,529

6/4 803

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,5,6/6,10,13/Any Combination 195,529