Sha Tin · 2023-01-01 · 17:53
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with A PAL second and RED LION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | A PAL CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | RED LION Led early S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 7 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | FAULDS Closed strongly B/XB/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 5 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | DECRYPT Closed strongly XB2/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | CZARSON CP K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | NORDIC STAR TT1 R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 2 | 86.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | CAPE BRETON L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 28.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | STRAIGHT ARRON CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | IMPERIAL MAGEE Closed strongly H/SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 14 | 131.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | GOOD BUDDY H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 7.7 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 13 | 32.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | LUCKY FUN TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 62.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 45.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 18.6% | 5.38 | 9 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 13.9% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | A PAL | 13.4% | 7.45 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | GOOD BUDDY | 10.6% | 9.45 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | RED LION | 9.6% | 10.46 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | CZARSON | 9.0% | 11.14 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | DECRYPT | 5.2% | 19.07 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | CAPE BRETON | 4.2% | 23.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH | 3.1% | 32.21 | 14 |
| 10 | 7 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.0% | 33.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | FAULDS | 2.9% | 34.63 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | LUCKY FUN | 2.5% | 39.86 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | NORDIC STAR | 2.5% | 39.92 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 1.5% | 67.36 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 29
PLACE
3 19.5
6 28.5
12 13.5
QUINELLA
3,12 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 90.5
3,12 36
6,12 56
FORECAST
12,3 137
TIERCE
12,3,6 963
TRIO
3,6,12 238
FIRST 4
3,6,12,14 1,679
QUARTET
12,3,6,14 18,246
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
5/3 219
5/12 840
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,8/3,6,12 21,934
SIX UP
6/3/2/2/5/12 8,641,667
6,10/3,4/2,4/2,10/5,8/3,12 272,783
11 [W Y So] —
4 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
2/5/3 2,063
2/5/12 10,645