Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-01-01 · 16:06

Race 8

Group 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 4 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor 5 9.7 1-1/4
3 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 3 9.0 2-1/4
5 0 BLAZE WARRIOR B/TT K Teetan · J Size 4 9.6 4
6 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE CP2/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 2 7.3 4-1/2
— 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE Closed strongly Z Purton · K L Man — 1.6 1-1/4
— 0 MORE THAN THIS K C Leung · C S Shum — — —
— 0 BEAUTY JOY H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz — 7.9 2-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HEALTHY HAPPY, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with THE GOLDEN SCENERY second and BLAZE WARRIOR third. The winner raced prominently from the start. The 1.6 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. HEALTHY HAPPY+1.25L3. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+2.25L5. BLAZE WARRIOR+4L6. FANTASTIC TREASURE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE 44.9% 2.23 —
2 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 15.3% 6.55 2
3 0 BLAZE WARRIOR 13.5% 7.40 5
4 0 BEAUTY JOY 11.5% 8.69 —
5 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE 9.5% 10.56 6
6 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 5.3% 18.83 3
LUCKY SWEYNESSEHEALTHY HAPPYBLAZE WARRIORBEAUTY JOYFANTASTIC TREASURETHE GOLDEN SCENERY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 16

PLACE

2 13

4 30

QUINELLA

2,4 66.5

- —

FORECAST

2,4 88

TIERCE

2,4,7 463

TRIO

2,4,7 182

FIRST 4

1,2,4,7 88

QUARTET

2,4,7,1 1,136

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,9/2,4,7 59,052

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

3/2 185.5

3/4 121.5