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Sha Tin · 2023-09-10

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT 1.22.45 B Avdulla · A S Cruz 8 16.0 1/2
2 0 FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 2 3.0 1/2
3 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H M Chadwick · W Y So 1 5.0 1-1/4
4 0 GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes 10 7.4 2-3/4
5 0 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu 6 33.0 2-3/4
6 0 HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 9 58.0 3-1/2
7 0 NEARLY FINE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 3 71.0 4-1/4
8 0 FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 5 4.4 5-3/4
9 0 WINNER METHOD B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 7 8.0 6-1/4
10 0 SAUVESTRE TT L Ferraris · F C Lor 4 12.0 8-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-10 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with FIND MY LOVE second and SUPER SUNNY SING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite FIND MY LOVE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE GOLDEN SCENERY—2. FIND MY LOVE+0.5L3. SUPER SUNNY SING+1.25L4. GALAXY WITNESS+2.75L5. PRIME MINISTER+2.75L6. HANDSOME TWELVE+3.5L7. NEARLY FINE+4.25L8. FLAMING RABBIT+5.75L9. WINNER METHOD+6.25L10. SAUVESTRE+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick FLAMING RABBIT (24.2%) finished 8th — the winner THE GOLDEN SCENERY was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FLAMING RABBIT 24.2% 4.14 8
2 0 FIND MY LOVE 13.6% 7.35 2
3 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 13.4% 7.49 3
4 0 SAUVESTRE 11.2% 8.93 10
5 0 NEARLY FINE 8.6% 11.69 7
6 0 WINNER METHOD 7.9% 12.61 9
7 0 GALAXY WITNESS 7.6% 13.21 4
8 0 PRIME MINISTER 4.6% 21.57 5
9 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 4.6% 21.63 1
10 0 HANDSOME TWELVE 4.4% 22.90 6
FLAMING RABBITFIND MY LOVESUPER SUNNY SINGSAUVESTRENEARLY FINEWINNER METHODGALAXY WITNESSPRIME MINISTERTHE GOLDEN SCENERY — wonHANDSOME TWELVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.