Sha Tin · 2023-09-10
Race 10
Class 2
GOOD TO YIELDING
1400m
Course A
10 runners
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-10 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with FIND MY LOVE second and SUPER SUNNY SING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite FIND MY LOVE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT 1.22.45 B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 6 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | NEARLY FINE TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 71.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNER METHOD B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SAUVESTRE TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick FLAMING RABBIT (24.2%) finished 8th — the winner THE GOLDEN SCENERY was rated #9.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLAMING RABBIT | 24.2% | 4.14 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | FIND MY LOVE | 13.6% | 7.35 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 13.4% | 7.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | SAUVESTRE | 11.2% | 8.93 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | NEARLY FINE | 8.6% | 11.69 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNER METHOD | 7.9% | 12.61 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS | 7.6% | 13.21 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | PRIME MINISTER | 4.6% | 21.57 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 4.6% | 21.63 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 4.4% | 22.90 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.