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Sha Tin · 2023-09-10

Race 3

Class 4 YIELDING 1200m Course A 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT 1.10.33 H Bowman · F C Lor 7 7.3 1/2
2 0 GREENWICH TT Z Purton · P C Ng 6 1.6 1/2
3 0 DRAGON DELIGHT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes 5 16.0 1-1/4
4 0 GOLDEN BULL XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 1 5.8 1-3/4
5 0 LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes 9 35.0 2-1/2
6 0 THE GOOD DEAL SR1/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte 3 10.0 3-3/4
7 0 HO HO STAR TT1 A Hamelin · C H Yip 4 32.0 5-1/2
8 0 VANQUISHER PC/TT K C Leung · J Richards 2 18.0 6-1/4
9 0 SPEEDY SMARTIE B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 8 63.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. READY TO WIN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with GREENWICH second and DRAGON DELIGHT third. The 1.6 favourite GREENWICH finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. READY TO WIN—2. GREENWICH+0.5L3. DRAGON DELIGHT+1.25L4. GOLDEN BULL+1.75L5. LUCKY QUALITY+2.5L6. THE GOOD DEAL+3.75L7. HO HO STAR+5.5L8. VANQUISHER+6.25L9. SPEEDY SMARTIE+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GREENWICH (33.8%) finished 2nd — the winner READY TO WIN was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GREENWICH 33.8% 2.96 2
2 0 THE GOOD DEAL 16.8% 5.95 6
3 0 GOLDEN BULL 15.8% 6.35 4
4 0 READY TO WIN 11.8% 8.48 1
5 0 DRAGON DELIGHT 9.1% 11.00 3
6 0 LUCKY QUALITY 5.1% 19.66 5
7 0 VANQUISHER 3.5% 28.48 8
8 0 HO HO STAR 3.1% 32.08 7
9 0 SPEEDY SMARTIE 1.0% 97.42 9
GREENWICHTHE GOOD DEALGOLDEN BULLREADY TO WIN — wonDRAGON DELIGHTLUCKY QUALITYVANQUISHERHO HO STARSPEEDY SMARTIE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.