Sha Tin · 2023-09-10
Race 7
Class 3
GOOD TO YIELDING
1400m
Course A
10 runners
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-10 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ALL IS GOOD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with BIG RED second and SNAFFLES third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALL IS GOOD Wire to wire B 1.22.82 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 1.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | BIG RED Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | SNAFFLES Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 1 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | OUTGATE H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 10 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 3 | 8.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 77.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CHARITY BINGO SR1 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick ALL IS GOOD (50.9%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALL IS GOOD | 50.9% | 1.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 13.1% | 7.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA | 7.3% | 13.63 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | CHARITY BINGO | 5.2% | 19.39 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 5.1% | 19.50 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | BIG RED | 4.7% | 21.20 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SNAFFLES | 4.5% | 22.07 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 3.6% | 27.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 3.5% | 28.60 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | OUTGATE | 2.0% | 50.72 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
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Race 8 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m
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