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Sha Tin · 2023-09-10

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly CP-/H 1.22.72 H Bentley · D J Whyte 2 6.4 1
2 0 DIVINE ERA Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 10 27.0 1
3 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly B H Bowman · C H Yip 4 4.1 1
4 0 SPEEDSTAR B K De Melo · D J Hall 3 23.0 2
5 0 JUNE PLANET Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 7 4.5 2
6 0 GOLDEN LINK E C W Wong · P F Yiu 9 15.0 4-3/4
7 0 FORERUNNER Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 8 25.0 5
8 0 ARIEL Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 5 4.7 5-3/4
9 0 SO AWESOME B/TT A Badel · K L Man 6 10.0 6
10 0 ALL ARE MINE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 9.7 16-1/4
— 0 ROMAN TURBO K Teetan · W Y So — — —
— 0 LIGHT OF WANSHI Z Purton · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-10 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. BLUE MARLIN, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with DIVINE ERA second and KASI FARASI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite KASI FARASI finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BLUE MARLIN—2. DIVINE ERA+1L3. KASI FARASI+1L4. SPEEDSTAR+2L5. JUNE PLANET+2L6. GOLDEN LINK+4.75L7. FORERUNNER+5L8. ARIEL+5.75L9. SO AWESOME+6L10. ALL ARE MINE+16.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick ARIEL (19.4%) finished 8th — the winner BLUE MARLIN was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ARIEL 19.4% 5.16 8
2 0 BLUE MARLIN 17.4% 5.74 1
3 0 KASI FARASI 12.5% 7.98 3
4 0 JUNE PLANET 10.1% 9.93 5
5 0 SO AWESOME 9.8% 10.16 9
6 0 SPEEDSTAR 9.4% 10.66 4
7 0 GOLDEN LINK 6.8% 14.76 6
8 0 FORERUNNER 6.5% 15.45 7
9 0 DIVINE ERA 5.8% 17.36 2
10 0 ALL ARE MINE 2.4% 41.86 10
ARIELBLUE MARLIN — wonKASI FARASIJUNE PLANETSO AWESOMESPEEDSTARGOLDEN LINKFORERUNNERDIVINE ERAALL ARE MINE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.