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Sha Tin · 2023-09-10

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1000m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 0.57.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHAMPION METHOD TT1 0.57.09 Z Purton · C S Shum 4 4.4 1/2
2 0 RUBY SAILING B Avdulla · K L Man 9 3.3 1/2
3 0 TIMESTORM B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 10 9.3 1/2
4 0 MULTIDARLING TT C L Chau · T P Yung 7 33.0 3/4
5 0 NOBLE ONE XB-/B A Badel · K W Lui 6 8.1 3/4
6 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 8 22.0 1-1/4
7 0 SUPER FAST DRAGON XB1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 5 5.3 1-1/2
8 0 GOOD BOY H-/B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 1 32.0 3-1/2
9 0 SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui 3 13.0 4-1/4
10 0 KARMA TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 2 10.0 6-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-10 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. CHAMPION METHOD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with RUBY SAILING second and TIMESTORM third. The 3.3 favourite RUBY SAILING finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHAMPION METHOD—2. RUBY SAILING+0.5L3. TIMESTORM+0.5L4. MULTIDARLING+0.75L5. NOBLE ONE+0.75L6. VALIANT ELEGANCE+1.25L7. SUPER FAST DRAGON+1.5L8. GOOD BOY+3.5L9. SPARKLING DOLPHIN+4.25L10. KARMA+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick CHAMPION METHOD (23.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHAMPION METHOD 23.9% 4.19 1
2 0 KARMA 18.1% 5.53 10
3 0 RUBY SAILING 12.0% 8.34 2
4 0 TIMESTORM 10.9% 9.15 3
5 0 NOBLE ONE 10.4% 9.59 5
6 0 SUPER FAST DRAGON 6.9% 14.54 7
7 0 GOOD BOY 6.2% 16.15 8
8 0 SPARKLING DOLPHIN 5.1% 19.46 9
9 0 MULTIDARLING 3.3% 30.69 4
10 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE 3.3% 30.71 6
CHAMPION METHOD — wonKARMARUBY SAILINGTIMESTORMNOBLE ONESUPER FAST DRAGONGOOD BOYSPARKLING DOLPHINMULTIDARLINGVALIANT ELEGANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.