Sha Tin · 2023-09-10
Race 6
Class 4
GOOD TO YIELDING
1000m
Course A
10 runners
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-09-10 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. CHAMPION METHOD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with RUBY SAILING second and TIMESTORM third. The 3.3 favourite RUBY SAILING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHAMPION METHOD TT1 0.57.09 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | RUBY SAILING B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | TIMESTORM B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 9.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | MULTIDARLING TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 33.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE ONE XB-/B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 8.1 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER FAST DRAGON XB1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 5 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | GOOD BOY H-/B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | KARMA TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick CHAMPION METHOD (23.9%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHAMPION METHOD | 23.9% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | KARMA | 18.1% | 5.53 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | RUBY SAILING | 12.0% | 8.34 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | TIMESTORM | 10.9% | 9.15 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE ONE | 10.4% | 9.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 6.9% | 14.54 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | GOOD BOY | 6.2% | 16.15 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 5.1% | 19.46 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | MULTIDARLING | 3.3% | 30.69 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 3.3% | 30.71 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
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Race 7 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1000m
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