Sha Tin · 2023-11-11 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT 1.09.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER LEGENDS TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RUBYLOT CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | JAMES TAK K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 84.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | PANDA B1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE ABSOLUTE TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 13 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MISSION VOICE Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 12 | 6.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE CONCENTRATION M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 131.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT DAYS CP/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 6 | 86.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BOOMBAYAH H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 103.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LADY BILLIE H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 90.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | COUNTRY DANCER B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 22.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | HICKORY VICTORY B1/TT1 K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 5 | 66.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | DASHING SUCCESS B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 158.0 | 18-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KAHOLO ANGEL, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 2-1/4, with SUPER LEGENDS second and RUBYLOT third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER LEGENDS | 27.9% | 3.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RUBYLOT | 19.5% | 5.13 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 15.7% | 6.38 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MISSION VOICE | 10.8% | 9.24 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | THE ABSOLUTE | 6.0% | 16.72 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | HICKORY VICTORY | 5.3% | 18.96 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | PANDA | 5.0% | 20.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | JAMES TAK | 3.7% | 27.17 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | LADY BILLIE | 2.4% | 41.01 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | COUNTRY DANCER | 1.8% | 56.54 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | THE CONCENTRATION | 0.7% | 145.68 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BOOMBAYAH | 0.6% | 170.46 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | GREAT DAYS | 0.4% | 253.85 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | DASHING SUCCESS | 0.3% | 314.80 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 33.5
PLACE
1 14
2 15.5
3 14.5
QUINELLA
1,2 64.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 27
1,3 27.5
2,3 28
FORECAST
1,2 121
TIERCE
1,2,3 269
TRIO
1,2,3 45
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 698
QUARTET
1,2,3,6 8,743