Sha Tin · 2023-11-11 · 09:25
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MUGEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY WAVES second and MODULECONSTRUCTION third. The 2.1 favourite MODULECONSTRUCTION finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MUGEN TT- 1.08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 13 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SPEED SWORD TT1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION XB1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 126.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 80.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER TEN B-/XB2/TT- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 122.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | VIVA CHALEUR TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 26.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | CHAMPION METHOD TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 8 | 7.8 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | RED ELEGANCE XB-/H1/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 2 | 9.5 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 33.1% | 3.02 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY WAVES | 13.5% | 7.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | CHAMPION METHOD | 12.9% | 7.75 | 12 |
| 4 | 13 | RED ELEGANCE | 6.8% | 14.81 | 13 |
| 5 | 10 | SPEED SWORD | 5.4% | 18.44 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE | 4.8% | 20.70 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | VIVA CHALEUR | 4.3% | 23.46 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | MUGEN | 4.1% | 24.29 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.0% | 24.86 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 3.6% | 28.08 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | JOLLY COMPANION | 3.4% | 29.61 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 2.6% | 38.08 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | SUPER TEN | 1.6% | 63.72 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 87
PLACE
4 11.5
7 35.5
9 29.5
QUINELLA
7,9 758.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 52.5
4,9 44.5
7,9 199
FORECAST
9,7 1,519
TIERCE
9,7,4 4,322
TRIO
4,7,9 421
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 1,164
QUARTET
9,7,4,6 48,291
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
8/7 69
8/9 439