Sha Tin · 2023-11-11 · 15:04
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1.35.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 3.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 3.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | SILVER KING Led early XB1/TT1 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 10 | 6.1 | N |
| 4 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 7 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 63.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 6 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | MARADO B C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO XB/H1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 115.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 54.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 23.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-11 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MASTER OF FORTUNE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by NOSE, with BEAUTY FIT second and SILVER KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite BEAUTY FIT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 36.1% | 2.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SILVER KING | 12.9% | 7.73 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 10.8% | 9.25 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS | 9.8% | 10.24 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MARADO | 7.6% | 13.21 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 6.5% | 15.48 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.32 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 4.0% | 25.09 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 2.6% | 38.31 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 2.5% | 39.24 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.0% | 50.56 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO | 0.5% | 182.59 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 35
PLACE
2 24
8 14.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
8,9 59.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 44.5
2,9 46
8,9 26.5
FORECAST
9,8 109
TIERCE
9,8,2 469
TRIO
2,8,9 115
FIRST 4
2,4,8,9 247
QUARTET
9,8,2,4 3,581
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/4/8 50
1/4/9 145
4TH DOUBLE
4/8 21.5
4/9 81.5