Sha Tin · 2023-11-11 · 17:54
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Wire to wire TT 1.22.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | D STAR Closed strongly H-/B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING CHEER CP M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 2 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHOW RESPECT CP-/SR-/XB/B1/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 9 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 6.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 14 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 72.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AORAKI SUMMIT Closed strongly CP/TT1 A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 177.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | RED ACLAIM TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 45.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 2.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | UP AND UP B-/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 13 | 86.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HYPER DRAGON BALL C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-11 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WINNER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C H Yip, won by 2, with D STAR second and KA YING CHEER third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite JOYFUL HUNTER finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO | 27.1% | 3.69 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 19.8% | 5.06 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING CHEER | 14.7% | 6.80 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 8.7% | 11.56 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | D STAR | 7.3% | 13.77 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 5.0% | 20.10 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.62 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | RED ACLAIM | 3.5% | 28.44 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | UP AND UP | 2.8% | 36.05 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | SHOW RESPECT | 2.6% | 38.51 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 2.0% | 49.47 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SETANTA | 1.9% | 52.78 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | AORAKI SUMMIT | 0.5% | 198.57 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 97.5
PLACE
9 55
11 28
14 15.5
QUINELLA
9,11 1,041
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 236
9,14 172
11,14 82.5
FORECAST
11,9 1,553
TIERCE
11,9,14 10,127
TRIO
9,11,14 1,569
FIRST 4
1,9,11,14 2,508
QUARTET
11,9,14,1 67,605
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
8/9/9 2,497
8/9/11 4,496
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,9/9,11,14 207,558
9TH DOUBLE
9/9 596
9/11 2,040.5
SIX UP
8,9/2,8/3,5/4,8/7,9/9,11 44,303
9/8/5/8/9/11 1,937,232
1 [P C Ng] —
1 [Z Purton] —