Sha Tin · 2023-11-11 · 13:31
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY HERO Closed strongly B 2.03.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 3 | 3.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H-/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly B/XB A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 13 | 27.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 14 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLD STERLING TT L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 7 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION B-/TT- A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 11 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN Led early XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 38.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER H1 K De Melo · J Size | K De Melo | J Size | 8 | 78.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | GENEROUS FRIEND TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 204.0 | 23 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-11 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY HERO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with FIERY FLYING second and SUN OF MAKFI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite FIERY FLYING finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 23.1% | 4.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FIERY FLYING | 18.2% | 5.50 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 15.9% | 6.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 8.8% | 11.42 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 7.7% | 13.04 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 5.8% | 17.37 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 5.3% | 19.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 3.6% | 27.81 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN | 3.2% | 30.89 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.0% | 33.12 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 2.3% | 42.93 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLD STERLING | 1.6% | 63.93 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 0.8% | 121.55 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | GENEROUS FRIEND | 0.8% | 124.85 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 38
PLACE
2 34
3 14.5
10 15.5
QUINELLA
3,10 57
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 51.5
2,10 78.5
3,10 27.5
FORECAST
10,3 130
TIERCE
10,3,2 762
TRIO
2,3,10 183
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 983
QUARTET
10,3,2,9 12,572
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 20
1/10 185
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/2,3,10 1,263