Sha Tin · 2023-11-11 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HOLY LAKE Closed strongly B/XB 1.22.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 6 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | WAR OF COURAGE Led early B Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 8 | 20.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GLUCK RACER Closed strongly H K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 12 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB/TT- L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GO HERO A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 13 | 46.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | VOLCANIC SPARK B1/XB1 K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 4 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 10 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHATEAU Closed strongly B- Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARMANDER B/TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 3 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 3.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GO GO GO Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 14 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN CHAMPION B-/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 72.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 9 | 79.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HOLY LAKE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with WAR OF COURAGE second and GLUCK RACER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite NOBLE PURSUIT finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 22.2% | 4.51 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 10.0% | 9.97 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 8.3% | 12.07 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 8.1% | 12.30 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | WAR OF COURAGE | 8.1% | 12.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 7.6% | 13.14 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | GLUCK RACER | 6.7% | 14.90 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 6.5% | 15.27 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | HOLY LAKE | 6.3% | 15.88 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | GO GO GO | 5.7% | 17.61 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | GO HERO | 4.2% | 23.81 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | CHATEAU | 4.1% | 24.55 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN CHAMPION | 1.1% | 89.88 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 1.0% | 96.87 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 59
PLACE
2 48.5
8 23
12 21
QUINELLA
2,8 491.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 160
2,12 169.5
8,12 65.5
FORECAST
8,2 1,079
TIERCE
8,2,12 5,564
TRIO
2,8,12 1,027
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 1,726
QUARTET
8,2,12,3 37,246
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/2,8,12 14,778
5TH DOUBLE
9/2 128
9/8 217
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,14/2,8,9/2,8,12 2,533,762
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,14/2,8,9/Any Combination 1,161