Sha Tin · 2023-11-11 · 06:05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-11 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. INVINCIBLE SAGE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with SPARKLING KNIGHT second and SUMMIT CHEERS third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE 0.56.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 2.2 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SPARKLING KNIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 20.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | EURO ROCKS CP1/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 6 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 4.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDEN DARCI TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | SPORTS LEGEND CP/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 38.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | THE GREAT MASTER TT1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 8 | 99.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 33.3% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GOLDEN DARCI | 14.3% | 7.00 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER COMMANDER | 12.9% | 7.75 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 12.5% | 7.98 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.2% | 16.24 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 6.1% | 16.48 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 5.4% | 18.44 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | SPORTS LEGEND | 3.4% | 29.68 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | EURO ROCKS | 3.3% | 30.73 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | THE GREAT MASTER | 2.7% | 36.76 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 22
PLACE
1 11
3 42.5
9 24
QUINELLA
1,3 175.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 67
1,9 33
3,9 179
FORECAST
1,3 250
TIERCE
1,3,9 1,101
TRIO
1,3,9 331
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 754
QUARTET
1,3,9,8 8,163
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/1 84
10/3 108